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Predictions from Supply Chain Gurus for 2016 - Full Text Version

 

Complete Predictions from Mike Regan, Gene Tyndall, David Schneider and More

Feb. 9, 2016
SCDigest Editorial Staff

Last week, SCDigest editor Dan Gilmore highlighted supply chain predictions for 2016 from a number of supply chain gurus. You can find that column here: Supply Chain Guru Predictions for 2016.

As promised then, we are also offering the full text comments from each of our gurus. We have made two of the guru predictions into separate Expert Insight columns, including Marc Wulfraat's excellent insights on Amazon.com's incredible logistics moves, and The Hackett Group's Chris Sawchuk on predictions for 2016 in procurement.

Supply Chain Digest Says...

No longer will we forecast to "one number"; we will forecast a range of material flow behaviors based on daily optimized flow plans that will have collaboratively agreed upon upper and lower control bands of shared risk.

 

Rich Sherman


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This week, here are the full text predictions from pundits Gene Tyndall, Mike Regan, David Schneider, Michael Watson, Chris Gopal, and Richard Sherman. Good stuff.

 

So let's get right to it, starting with Mike Regan.

 


Predictions from Mike Regan, TranzAct Technologies

 

Many prediction columns like to highlight emerging technologies or trends that could potentially impact your business. Understanding technology and trends is important, but here is one more immediate item to consider - in 2016, your job may be at risk!

 

Why is your job at risk?

First, based on my research, I predict the economy will remain soft throughout much of 2016. Consequently, C-Level executives - especially those in publicly traded companies - will demand that transportation and supply chain professionals turn over every stone in order to reduce costs. And if the cost cuts are not deep enough, or if your C-Level executives conclude that someone else can de liver more savings - or if they simply decide to downsize - you could be replaced.

Before dismissing this as a "boy crying wolf" scenario, let me explain. I have rarely seen as many senior level transportation and supply chain executives let go as I did in the latter half of 2015. Make no mistake about it, in 2016, your company will expect you to take a scalpel to your budget and deliver significant savings. If not, it could be you that gets cut.
Here is a key question for shippers and third parties in 2016, "How will you reduce freight costs when the carriers are looking for higher rates to cover increases in their operating costs?"

With the exception of fuel, carriers are experiencing higher operating costs (e.g., equipment, driver compensation, insurance). Add to that the financial impact of recent - and forthcoming - FMCSA regulations. And with the decline in fuel surcharges, the carriers can no longer use them to mask their actual cost increases. Considering all these factors, I am predicting a very challenging rate negotiation environment.

If carriers are unable to get the rate increases they need to operate profitably, they will be unlikely to add significant capacity. Overall, they will remain focused on financial yields from good customers and look for ways to augment their pricing to increase revenue. In the LTL sector, expect more dimensional- and density-based pricing, which (according to the carriers) more accurately reflects the costs for space being utilized on their trailers. In the Truckload sector, expect additional accessorial charges, especially for detention or anything else that consumes drivers' time.

(One side note: there is a real possibility that we will see consolidation in the motor carrier sector, because the economic environment may create some unique opportunities for financially-healthy carriers.)

Second, in "lean" organizations, the focus is on eliminating waste and keeping inventory levels as low as possible. But smaller inventories imply more frequent and/or smaller shipments—and more shipments mean higher freight costs. Therefore, transportation and supply chain professionals must have the necessary tools to demonstrate the correlation between lean programs and freight costs to their organizations.

With C-Level executives continuing to demand reduced costs and bottom line results, shippers have two choices:

• Get lower rates
Implement more efficient supply chain processes that drive out costs


Given the pressure to reduce costs, I predict more shippers will implement/rely upon advanced Transportation Management Systems that can analyze their data to find more cost-effective ways to operate their business. These tools can highlight how freight is impacted by procurement, supply chain, and sales practices. You can employ this to create a dialogue with your C-Level about changes your organization needs to make to achieve transportation savings.

Finally, given this mandate, you must decide:

1. Do I take the risk that we can deliver these savings internally and rely on company resources, systems, and support

 

or


2. Do I employ the outside expert resources to deliver the results that can increase profits and advance my career?


Savvy shippers, who care about their careers, will choose the latter option. That is a prediction that will be true in 2016 - and beyond.


Predictions from Gene Tyndall, Tompkins International

 

I am pleased again this year to offer my predictions for supply chains in 2016.

As I reviewed my predictions last January, I was correct directionally on most. It seems that predicting supply chain trends is simpler than predicting events or specifics, so I will stay with this theme this year.

First, let's assume the consensus of macroeconomic predictions will be reasonably accurate. These do indeed impact supply chain trends, as we know, especially in terms of logistics - freight and inventories. Some of these are:

Modest GDP growth (2.7% vs. 2015 at 2.5%)
Overall inflation (to 2.4% from just 0.7% in 2015)
Crude oil prices ($45 per barrel, up from today's $37) and more exports
Stock market (to 19,000 but more volatility)
The pan-Asean Trade Pact (will be approved)
Speed will matter and triumph (in all business processes).

So, with these in mind, my "top 5" for supply chains this year would be as follows:

1. Let's start this year with "people and the talent shortage". We see several companies struggling with senior level expertise, as so many "baby boomers" have retired or are in the final months of their career. This problem is largely a generational issue, but it is also the fact that demand exceeds supply. As companies have expanded globally, and evolved into multi-channels, the talent needs and requirements have increased. One key initiative that is helping the gap already is the "Leading Women in Supply Chain" program started by our good friend and strong supply chain leader Ann Drake, in 2013. Titled "AWESOME", this group has expanded to hundreds of members and held its largest conference this year at J&J. Thanks to Ann for starting this group and widening its membership, thus expanding our leader resources and future executives.

2. Distribution has taken on new strategic importance and will continue to upgrade this year. New requirements for e-fulfillment operations will get most of the attention; however, the opening of the new Panama Canal will intensify the need for large-scale facilities as well. We see more automation, and increaseing uses of robots, coming this year. Facilities that share both pallet shipments and item boxes are becoming more common, just as are those with specialized operations. The real driver is the Operations Strategy of the company and its needed capabilities.

In addition, we see no peaking of outsourcing Logistics. The key questions here are what best meets the needs of the company - the large 3PL's such as XPO and others, or the smaller, more specialized companies? There are several criteria to be evaluated in selecting, maintaining, and/or improving the right service providers for the individual customer company.

3. Operations Strategies are finally catching on as the right linkages for business strategies with execution. The identification of what "capabilities" are necessary in order to achieve the business goals has been made more evident by the explosion of e-Commerce and its "Omnichannel" objectives. This is true for not only by Retailers, but by all companies that buy, make, move, or distribute products. Amazon's explosive growth has awakened others to the need for counter-solutions, often for survival, but always for protecting and growing market share. Further, the growth of "cross-border Omnichannel" will challenge many companies to execute these as a critical success factor for profitable growth.

This awareness of the importance of operations strategies has also surfaced as one of the critical objectives of the S&OP Process. A successful S&OP Process aligns the company to execute in alignment with its business goals. As S&OP processes mature, and morph into "integrated business planning", the leading companies that get this right will be known to excel in supply chain management - to best balance supply and demand, lead in customer satisfaction and profitable growth, and thus create stakeholder value.

4. Technology, of course, will increase and expand. Not only more into decision-support systems and tools, and "artificial intelligence"; but, also with the Internet of Things (IoT), with robotics, with freight moves, and with some impact with drones. We are expecting more robotics in Distribution Centers for Material Handling, along with smarter automated designs. For example, look for robots in support of container unloading and unloading, and for certain picking modules. Many 3PL's are investing more into technology for not only efficiency, but also for speed and human error reductions. Technological innovation is more possible in 2016 than ever before, as the costs to develop and offer it from "the Cloud" are more acceptable than before.

5. Last, but certainly not least, is Risk Management. This trend will continue throughout 2016, as the threat of Terrorism expands; as weather crises occur; as globalization expands; and as Labor unrests challenge facilities - to name a few of the major risks. A few are somewhat predictable, though not when or where; while others can only be expected. This places a complex challenge on supply chain leaders to continue to establish mitigation strategies, for suppliers, for service providers, for customers, and for their own internal risks, such as errors, technology failures, or other surprises.

As last year, I hope these "top 5" predictions for Supply Chain Management help leaders prepare for and respond better in 2016. We continue to see more "fire-fighting" being necessary in many companies than time available for leadership, strategy, planning, and mentoring. Sure, the world is complex, as are supply chains, but achieving and maintaining operational excellence are value creation drivers, and the leading companies prove that each day.


Predictions on Supply Chain Network Design and Analytics from Dr. Michael Watson of Opex Analytics and Northwestern Unoversity

 

Top 3 Predictions for supply chain network design in 2016:


1. Modeling will become more collaborative. Modeling has always required data and feedback from many different people in the organization. Now, cloud-based technology now makes it easier to have different people in the organization work on the input files and explore the results.

2. Your team will learn the term data munging. Preparing data for a modeling exercise can involve working with 20-40 different data files and going through 100s of different steps. This is cumbersome in Excel and Access. Data munging refers to the process of going through those steps to prepare the data. But, more interesting, there are now tools (Alteryx and LLamasoft's DataGuru to name two) that allow you to systematically execute and repeat these steps. These tools also make it easier to remember what you did when you return to work after a long weekend.

3. Machine learning will help you understand your data and automate the modeling building. When working with complex and detailed transaction data, machine learning algorithms will help you get deeper insights into your data. It will also help you automate the model building processing by cleaning the data, filling in missing gaps, and pointing out inconsistencies in the data.



(See More Below)

CATEGORY SPONSOR: SOFTEON

 

Predictions from David Schneider of David K. Schneider & Associates

It all comes down to the price of oil. The lower the price of crude goes, the slower the economy grows. This year will confound many, as oil goes too far and kneecaps US economic growth.

While many are going to cheer the price of crude oil dropping below $30BBL, the drop is going to undercut industrial growth in the US. Oil exploitation, drilling and infrastructure all drove the industrial growth post 2010. The shale oil producers can cut just so much cost before they have to fold, and we are going to see many fold in the first half of 2016.

Any company that made hard objects used in machines, like steel, or precision parts, or pumps, valves, pipe, compressors, those manufacturers have already seen a drop in demand, and cut purchases and workforce. The railroads are feeling the pinch, as demand for pipe and other products drop. The rails are going to feel a bigger pinch as the sweet crude of the shale stops flowing and the crude by rail (CBR) volume drops. Refiners who jumped on the CBR will feel the delayed pinch as they can't get the crude they want without tapping via pipeline the stored excess in Cushing and other tank farms around the country.

Boom/bust. That is the way the oil business continues to swing. It will show a whipsaw this year and cut into the broader economy.

Grain farmers enjoyed three huge years of favorable weather and growing conditions, including the folks who grow corn. But demand for US grains dropped as less corn converted into ethanol, and fewer countries found American grain affordable because of the strong dollar. Grain storage is close to peak, and if it does not turn, there may be fewer acres of land growing grains. That is hard for Deere, Case New Holland, Monsanto, and the rail roads who move the bulk fertilizers and the grain to markets. Farm incomes will drop, and food prices may soften.

The low price of oil is changing the economics between rail and truck. Some shippers are now seeing an advantage of moving freight out of containers in port and trucking to inland destination rather than intermodal moves. A few years of attention to packaging, and dim weight now pushes more value into cubic foot of freight. While trucking capacity may be tight in some lanes, there is always capacity appearing as the economy slows down. So intermodal rail volume will drop, or at best stay even with last year. Coal moves are down, as are everything else. The railroads are going to have a hard year.

Saving fuel is no longer the incentive it was just 18 months ago. Revenue and cash flow generation will start to be more important as the ripple effect of the low cost of oil and natural gas starts to work across the broader economy. It is a story of too much of a good thing, where the price goes too low for too long.

Sorry, but I don't see a happy picture until crude goes back to $50BBL.


Predictions from Dr. Chris Gopal, Drucker School at Claremont

First, the supply chain will increasingly be seen as a driver of revenue and customer management. The customer-driven supply chain ("designing the supply chain from the customer looking back") is now more than on time/in full delivery. It is the customer experience life cycle (from the time a customer browses or needs something through purchase, pay, deliver, service and return) for different segments without any "unnecessary excellence."

 

It includes customer acquisition and retention, the ease of doing business, differentiated service offerings and personalized service, co-planning and execution, and the maintenance of brand equity through "socially responsible" sourcing and supplier tracking for mandates such as conflict minerals and corruption. The key will be achieving these at the best cost and risk structure.

Secondly, new developments in manufacturing technologies and automation will change the cost, risk and customer dynamics of the supply chain. These include additive manufacturing, Manufacturing 4.0, "intelligent" robots, warehouse automation and autonomous vehicles. These are radically changing the old "economies of scale" cost curves and structures, enabling lot sizes of one, leading to final operations facilities close to the customer (and away from risky areas), and involving customers in the design and fulfillment processes. A likely outcome could be the reduction in outsourcing as labor content drops and the design-manufacturing process becomes a core competency.

Thirdly, dashboards and basic analytics will drive the "intelligent" supply chain. The focus will be on basic actionable intelligence in the supply chain, including daily dashboards and core analytics around customers, supply, inventory, sales & operations planning, fulfillment and finance. "Intelligence" will replace the "big data' hype, and companies will start placing a great deal more attention to developing predictive and prescriptive "advanced" analytics driven by the Internet of Things. However, it will be the basic dashboards, information and on-demand "what-if" analysis that will be the main concerns of executives in the coming year.

Fourth, talent management and education at the executive and manager level will become an increasingly important part of executive attention and competitive strategy. If there is a critical success factor to achieve success in today's highly variable and complex environment, this is it. Supply Chains are facing a serious skill shortfall. Executive Education and "upskilling" will focus on functional competency AND the "holistic" view of the supply chain - impacts on the customer, organization, finances, stock price and other functions.

 

In addition, companies will be investing in the training of technicians, factory and warehouse workers in new technologies. It is becoming apparent that the new environment requires a higher level of supply chain skills, and that indiscriminate outsourcing is leading to a dangerous and risky loss of skill and capability.

Finally, the increasing economic and geo-political uncertainties (China, fuel and transportation costs, government regulations, terrorism, to name a few) will increase the visibility of risk and the strategies and structure to mitigate it. It is not just cost per unit that is driving trends such as "re/near-shoring" or "in-housing", locations in proximity to markets, redundancy in supply and suppliers and forward buying, but the strategic need to maintain control, mitigate risk, manage brand equity and stop loss of core capabilities and intellectual capital. Risk will be defined as more than major geo-political and natural disaster events that disrupt supply - and is an increasing part of the BOD agenda and supply chain strategy.


Predictions from Richard Sherman of Tata Consultancy Services and a Well-Known Supply Chain Analyst

 

In my book "Supply Chain Transformation," I marked the millennium as the dawning of the "Connected Age." In 2016, connected commerce is emerging as the 21st Century business as usual. With mobility, GPS/Location Based Services, Big Data/Analytics, Robotics, Cloud/Pervasive Computing, Additive Manufacturing, and an Internet of Everything/Industrial Internet, 2016 will mark the beginning of the long awaited transformation of tradition sequential, linear supply "chain" thinking to digitally enabled, systems, and supply "network" thinking.

We like to call the Next Generation supply chain the Smart Digital Supply Network (SDSN). Regardless of what we call it, 2016 will ring in major changes that remove the constraints tradition planning and execution models have labored with over the years:


The Rise of Digital Demand Management


Despite the impact that accurate, timely demand planning and management has on the financial health of the company, we have become so accustomed to the forecast always being wrong that many companies don't invest either financial or human capital to improve it. Look for that to change as the SDSN is adopted by more companies. The Demand Management Program Office lead by a Chief Demand Officer or outsourced to a Planning as a Service provider is emerging. Leveraging new and more abundant sources of real time end to end data, data scientists and engineers will generate significantly more accurate and timely plans at the SKU by location level unencumbered by functional "silos" and lack of visibility to new conditions that cause history to change. These more accurate forecasts will turbocharge S&OP/IBF processes while supporting and improving the $million day to day working capital decisions that planners and schedulers make based on custom spreadsheets and tribal knowledge.

Supply Network Transparency is the New Supply Chain Visibility

No longer the holy grail of the supply chain, visibility will be replaced with the information sharing and transparency of the SDSN. In 2016, the next generation of visibility will be advanced descriptive, diagnostic, predictive, and prescriptive analytics base on monitoring supply network data end to end to sense variation from plan and alert the appropriate associate to take prescribed actions to bring the flow back within objective. Track and Trace and regulatory compliance will be ubiquitous. Visibility will be unnecessary as the data and analytics to provide relevant information and recommendations will be transparent to the user.

Process Control for the Supply Network

Fueled by end to end real time data and advanced analytics, 2016 will bring realization to the vision of an "I4NI" or substituting "information for inventory." Fifty-two week rolling forecasts recalculated daily by the Demand Management Program Office will enable process control applications across the supply network. No longer will we forecast to "one number"; we will forecast a range of material flow behaviors based on daily optimized flow plans that will have collaboratively agreed upon upper and lower control bands of shared risk. As the flow is monitored in real time, the system will sense if actual demand is trending up or down toward the agreed control points. If the trending places the flow at risk of exceeding the control bands, planners are immediately alerted and provided with prescriptive actions to take to bring the flow back under control in response to the variation from plan.


Manufacturing 4.0, the Factory of the Future, and the Warehouse of the Future

No longer an "inside" the four walls process, the SDSN breaks down the four walls of the factory and warehouse and connects them with all of the other nodes in the network. A "Digital Thread" connects research, engineering, and/or design groups with procurement, production and distribution aligning them to collaborate on new products, engineering changes, and other product improvements. Additive manufacturing technologies such as 3D printing, combined with advanced robotics, both fixed and autonomous, will transform traditional manufacturing and warehousing operations as they assume new roles in the SDSN.

Connected Commerce Replaces eCommerce And Omnichannel Reigns

The transparency and analytics of the SDSN will expose much of the presumed Emperor's new clothes. Are Amazon and Ali Baba "Humpty Dumpties" sitting on the wall? Sure, eCommerce is growing rapidly; but, at still less than 10% of retail sales, online sales with home delivery are pushing the capabilities and capacity of our parcel management system. Drones, you think?

 

Think of the number of home delivery vehicles that traverse your neighborhood daily and the number of packages each holds. I don't want to open my door one day to see a swarm of drones like a scene out of "The Birds." The SDSN will enable data-driven segmented selling and fulfillment strategies that are truly Omnichannel, leveraging the best buy and deliver strategies to provide the best response to the customer/segment served.

The Tip of the Iceberg of the Connected Age


Transformation and change are inevitable. Growth is optional based on whether you embrace the digital world intentionally or are unintentionally consumed by it. Regardless, I'd like to offer two quotes that I think sum up the transformation that is upon us in 2016. First, Joe Krause, dotcom pioneer and partner at Google Ventures said in a recent BBC interview on changing markets: "The 20th Century was about dozens of markets of millions of consumers.

 

The 21st Century is about millions of markets of dozens of consumers!" Traditional supply chain planning and execution models and thinking simply are not adequate to compete in the 21st Century Connected Age. If you don't agree with me, than I would offer a quote from Charlie Feld, Author and Thought Leader, Founder of the Feld Group Institute: "If you don't like change, then you're going to hate extinction!"


Hope you enjoyed this year's guru predictions.

 

Any reaction to any of these 2016 predictions? Which did you like best and why? Let us know your thoughts at the Feedback section (email) or button below.

 

Your Comments/Feedback

Srihari

Senior Consultant, Infosys
Posted on: May, 22 2016
Great article. I am a little suprised not to see BNSF in the mix while I understand their financial mode/operation is a little different. 

That would only give a complete perspective with all the players in the pool.

Mike O'Brien

Senior editor, Access Intelligence
Posted on: May, 26 2016
Surprised to see Home Depot fall off the list; thought they were winning with Sync?

Julie Leonard

Marketing Director, Inovity
Posted on: Jun, 27 2016
Using the right tool for the right job has always been a best practice and one of the reasons, we feel, that RFID has never taken off in the DC as exponentially as pundits have been forecasting since 2006. While these results may seem surprising to those solely focused on barcode scanning, the adoption of multi-modal technologies in the DC makes perfect sense for greater worker efficiency and productivity.

Carsten Baumann

Strategic Alliance Manager, Schneider Electric
Posted on: Aug, 19 2016

The IoT Platform in this year's (2016) Hype Cycle is on the ascending side, entering the "Peak of Inflated Expectation" area. How does this compare to the IoT positions of the previous years, which have already peaked in 2015? Isn't this contradicting in itself?

Editor's Note: 

You are right, Internet of Things (IoT) was at the top of the Garter new technology hype curve not long ago. As you noted, however, this time the placement was for “IoT Platforms,” a category of software tools from a good number of vendors to manage connectivity, data communications and more with IoT-enabled devices in the field.

So, this is different fro IoT generally, though a company deploying connected things obviously needs some kind of platform – hoe grown or acquired – to manage those functions.

Why IoT generically is not on the curve this year I wondered myself.

 

 

Jo Ann Tudtud-Navalta

Materials Management Manager, Chong Hua Hospital, Cebu City, Philippines
Posted on: Aug, 21 2016

I agree totally with Mr. Schneider.

I have always lived by "put it in writing" all my work life.  I am a firm believer of the many benefits of putting everything in writing and I try to teach it to as many people as I can.

This "putting in writing" can also be used for almost anything else.  Here are some general benefits (only some) of "putting in writing":

1. Everything is better understood between parties involved.  There are lots of people types who need something visual to improve their understanding.
2. Everyone can read to review and correct anything misunderstood.  This will ensure that all parties concerned confirm the details of the agreements as correct.  This is further enhanced by having all parties involved sign off on a hard copy or confirm via reply email.
3. Everything has a proof.  Not to belittle the element of trust among parties involved, it is always safest to have tangible proof of what was agreed on.
4. There will be a document to refer to at any time by any one who needs clarification.
5. The documentation can be useful historical data for any future endeavor.  It provides inputs for better decisions on related situations in the future.
6. This can also be compiled and used to teach future new team members.  "Learn from the past" it is said.

There are many more benefits.  Mr. Schneider is very correct about his call to "put it in writing".





Sandy Montalbano

Consultant, Reshoring Initiative
Posted on: Aug, 24 2016
U.S. companies are reshoring and foreign companies are investing in U.S. locations to be in close proximity to the U.S. market for customer responsiveness, flexibility, quality control, and for the positive branding of "Made in USA".

Reshoring including FDI balanced offshoring in 2015 as it did in 2014. In comparison, in 2000-2007 the U.S. lost net about 200,000 manufacturing jobs per year to offshoring. That is huge progress to celebrate!

The Reshoring Initiative Can Help. In order to help companies decide objectively to reshore manufacturing back to the U.S. or offshore, the nonprofit Reshoring Initiative's free Total Cost of Ownership Estimator can help corporations calculate the real P&L impact of reshoring or offshoring. http://www.reshorenow.org/TCO_Estimator.cfm

Robert

Transportation Manager, N/A
Posted on: Aug, 30 2016
 Good article!  I am sending this to my colleagues who work with me.  We have to keep this in mind.  Thanks!

Ian Jansen

Mr, NHLS
Posted on: Sep, 14 2016
SCM is all about getting the order delivered to the Customer on date/ time requested because happy Customers = Revenue. Using the right tools to do the right job is important and SCM is heavily dependent on sophisticated ERP systems to get right real data info ASP.

I've worked in a DC with more than 400,000 line items and measured the Productivity of Pickers by how many "picks" per day.

I've learned that one doesn't have to remind Germany about your EDI orders.

Don Benson

Partner, Warehouse Coach
Posted on: Sep, 15 2016
Challenge - to build and sustain effective relationships at the level of the organizations that are responsible for effectively coordinating and colaborating in an otherwise highly competitive environment 

Jade

Admin, Fulfillment Logistics UK Ltd
Posted on: Oct, 02 2016
Of course we all need to up our game. We need to move with the times, and always be one step ahead of what the future will bring.

Mike Dargis

President of asset-based carrier based in the Midwest, Zip Xpress Inc. (at ZipXpress.net)
Posted on: Oct, 03 2016
Thanks for the article, but I know there's a lot more to this issue than just the pay rates. Please check out my blogs on the subject at www.zipxpress.net.

Blaine

Inventory Specialist, Syncron
Posted on: Nov, 16 2016
Lora, great article! I agree that companies choose the 'safe' solution more often than not. My solution is a bolt-on for legacy ERP's and we even face challeneges of customer adoption. Most like to play it safe and choose an ERP upgrade, which is more costly, time consuming, and has lower ROI across the board. Would love to learn more about your company, we are always looking for partnerships.

Blaine
blaine.schultz@syncron.com

Bob McIntyre

National Account Executive, DBK Concepts LLC
Posted on: Nov, 21 2016
This is a game changer in GE's production and prototyping.  It also has huge implications across the GE global supply chain with regard to the management of their support and spare parts network. 

Kai Furmans

Professor, KIT
Posted on: May, 22 2017
I am referencing to the comment that leasing of warehousing equipment (beyond forklift trucks) is a vision for 2030.
Just recently in Europe, such a business model has started, see here: https://next-intralogistics.de/

I am following with a lot of interest, how the business develops.

Stuart Rosenberg

Supply Chain Consultant, First Choice Supply Chain
Posted on: Jun, 05 2017
If we limit the standard on judging or determining the best supply chain to just three calculations it does not tell the entire picture.  Financial performance metrics are valuable as they capture the economic consequences of business decisions.  But supply chain managers make decsions and use organizational resources that impact a company's financial well being.  Where is a firm's earnings over a period of time determined by sales less product costs and general/adminsitrative costs?  Where is the metric for determining the sources and uses of cash from three perspectives - operational, investment and financial?  Where are these supply chain metrics: on-time delivery, lead time, response time to customers, product returns, procurement costs, network distance, inventory carrying costs, forecasting accuracy, sourcing time, etc,.  Without knowing the results of all these supply chain calculations the there must be a question as to the accuracy of the 25 top supply chains.

Dustin Calitz

Project Commercialization Manager, Mondelez
Posted on: Jun, 06 2017
I feel this ranking misses the mark in SC. It does not seem to consider a key indicator in days inventory on hand, which is key to determining a SC company's ability to forecast, manage inventory costs and reduce aged stock. In additiion I realize it's difficult to understand what goes into the customer survey, but would I assume specific metrics are being asked. For examples customer's opinion on service level differentiation and the ability to deliver the right product on time, which should then be allocated a bigger weighting than 10%. It would also be interesting to take a view of the above list's SKU portfolio complexity, seasonality and launches/promotions. I would again assume some companies on the list above have a far more complex SC to manage and lead, ultimately requiring a lot more innovation within a SC to stay ahead of competitors, and ultimately satisfy their customers demands.  I understand above metrics are difficult to measure, as mentioned in the article, but they somehow need to be considered to give a true reflection. 

Michael Hurd

Lean Consultant, Unemployed
Posted on: Jun, 10 2017

A Very Good Article...

While some feel that lean is a scam that pushes for more out of the personnel and out of the companies through reduction of waste and adding value for the customer, there are several things to remember:

1) Lean methodologies are designed and implemented to reduce time wasting, so this may seem that you are working harder as an employee.

2) Lean methdoligies only work when everyone from the janitor to the owner of the company get involved and back the program.

3) Lean methods are there to make you work smarter not harder, although it may feel you are working harder.

4) YES... Sometimes lean methodologies fail! This is due to project overun or taking on too large a problem and trying to fix it all in one go and not taking the smaller problems that are associated with the large problem and fixing them first. Sometimes fixing the small problems leads to resolution of the larger problem.

Akhil

Director Supply Chain , skuchain
Posted on: Jul, 31 2017
The Supply Chain technology is not considered a problem because traditionally supply chains are thought to be cost centres unlike sales functions. The tendency, in general, to limit expenses and cost cutting on upgrades for technology and for talent have been hindering progress for the businesses. Supply chains lack real time visbility and above all trust across the value chain (not that the participants are dishonest) rather it's about the cascading effects referred to as the bull-whip effect which causes higher magnitudes of disruptions. 

Supply chain real time information should top the list .

Another problem is that of multi homing as so much data is available across several feeds of IOT/Email/Internet /Mobility/ERP that organisations tend to have issues around finding a single platform to collate them for meaning analysis. 

Blockchain (if deployed appropriately) can be a great solution for solving the issues around the supply chain.

Mike Ledyard

Vested Program Faculty, Vested Way / University ofTennessee
Posted on: Aug, 04 2017
Excellent article.  It very much points to the need for Shared Risk / Shared Reward as we teach at Vested.  Suppliers will respond when they are made part of the team, and they have a lot to bring to the game.  The service provider is the subject matter expert in the services provided, and in an excellent position to enhance the capabilities and services offered by the shipper.

Andrew Downard

Managing Director, AD Supply Chain Group Pty Ltd
Posted on: Aug, 05 2017
As the article points out it is not a lack of technology that is holding back performance but rather a failure to form the right sort of relationships.  As well as the length of such relatiohships, practitioners should consider employing arrangements that incentivise both parties to innovate and deliver levels of performance and profit that neither thought possible.  By far the best model I have come across to achieve this is the Vested Outsourcing model developed by researchers from the University of Tennessee.  See www.vestedway.com for information on the model and case studies that show how others have benefited from creating a Vested deal.

Najma

logistics, threelineshipping
Posted on: Aug, 23 2017
Very informational article. The major focus of logistics is on e-commerce. There is a need to optimize every component of logistics by following the latest trends and technologies. Thanks for uploading this article.

Sameer Shukkla

Consulting Partner, Wipro Inc.
Posted on: Sep, 17 2017
I have recently co-authored a white paper with my colleague wherein we have looked at 2 fundamental guiding principles  -

1. Always have enough to Sell / Produce
2. Do not have excess to Sell / Produce

These 2 Golden Rules can be the foundation of keeping optimal inventory levels and for organizations to achieve the same. We have looked at a framework which tries to reduce the phase mismatch between Demand & Supply, and tries to bring the shape of the supply curve closer to shape of the demand curve.

We have classified symptoms and underlying root causes for the above "Phase mismatch" and "Curve Mismatch" between Demand and Supply, and then talked about addresssing those individual root causes to strive towards Leaner Inventory levels while maintaining or improving service levels.

So to answer your question, we feel the Companies which have addresed these causes have been able to keep DIO horizontal or even going down, while others have not been able to control rising DIO because of not addressing the root causes.

Simon Eagle

SCM Consultant, Camelot MC
Posted on: Sep, 17 2017
You ask why turns are flat or declining despite lots of attention and technology. The answer is, I think, 2 fold: the supply chain environments VUCA (Volatliity, Uncertainty, Complexity, Ambiguity) is on a continuous upward curve and this means that forecast accuracy inevitably declines in parallel - and much of that inaccuracy is hidden by the statistics. For instance a company with, seemingy good, 80% mix accuracy will find that figure is skewed so high by the few high volume / low variability items. 80% of the items will be achieving considerably less than 60% error.

So most item level forecasts used for driving replenishment through an MPS (be it ERP or APS) are simply leading to unbalanced stocks, service threats and continuous expediting / fire-fighting. These schedule interrutions are "variability" that is disrupting flow and, thereby, increasing lead-times, using unplanned capacity and generating excessive (and still unbalanced) inventories.

The replacement in ex-stock supply chains is "enterprise(s)-wide" pull which also uses "push" for extreme/exceptional events. Its other key characteristics are that the supply chain is decoupled and is demand-driven. And now it can be implemented using SAP since they announced they they have co-developed an enhancement for IBP that supports this transformational way of working - up to 50% inventory reduction, requiring less capacity and shorter lead-times all while achieving planned service levels. See https://www.camelot-itlab.com/en/camelot-demand-driven-lean-planning-suite-for-sap/ and https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/supply-chain-flow-what-why-how-simon-eagle/


John Smith

Research & Development, Octopus Tech Solutions
Posted on: Sep, 18 2017
IoT is without a doubt starting to become a major factor in the profitability of various companies. In the manufacturing sector, we will see it come into the front by the end of 2020 completely. Various sectors have already adapted IoT solutions like the security industry or companies offering BPO Services India. Contact centers not just in India and China but across the world have adapted technology following the principles of IoT. The manufacturing sector is soon going to follow.

Girish Maniyar

Chief Manager Development Initiatives, Asian Paints
Posted on: Sep, 28 2017
I  can speak with some context. While efficiency and tools can reduce inventory, we also see the number of SKUs and new products increasing, and also the number of sales/depot points. This means the inventory in such cases, can start with very high number and with more customization and choices available to the consumer, so there is no end to the long tail of products available within a category. It is unlikely that the slow/dead goods are written off so easily to be not included here.

A larger question, would it be purely an IO problem or also a Demand Planning (Forecast Error) problem? A higher cycle time of service but a better fill rate can improve inventory performance, by aggregation. But a bad forecast can do away all the good work you do in inventory planning.

Do you have numbers for decorative coatings in the list? I did not see something there only for decorative coatings.



Reo B Hatfield

Chief Operating Executive , BestTransport
Posted on: Oct, 20 2017
My opinion is that peaks and valley are just nice graphics to explain.  Smooth responses save the day.   3PLs  just adjust to the climate and the areas of movement of Logistics.    One purpose of the 3PL movement was to adjust to an always changing market.   They will never be fixed and will flex as the logistics changes.   3PL companies have vast knowledge of their business.  Their success is their ability to move up and down as the market flows.  They bring a level playing field to the transportation world that in the past was rigid but looked good on spreadsheets.  Industry graphic personnel like to be able to answer all the changes because they can only see documents.  3PLs see the needs, the issues, the positive changes and the knowledge to know why and when to adjust.   They (3PLs) have smoothed the waves of the past and everybody likes to see the spikes so they know something is there to clearly report on. Smooth sailing is boring but sure gets you where you want to go. 

Catherine Dennis

Supply Chain Manager, Indak Mfg Corp
Posted on: Oct, 26 2017
So the horrific and severe worldwide allocation of electronic components is not an issue?  Don't tell that to the automotive buyers.  It's HORRIBLE.  Lead times out to up to 76 weeks.  Why not write about that?  It's killing us, our customers and the big automakers.   

Huub

Logistics Manager, Shell
Posted on: Nov, 11 2017
I suggest McKinsey to do a bit more research in Prof Gattorna’s dynamic alignment. This article only scratches the surface a tiny bit. Much more to be found reading about the alignment concept.

Joseph George

Farmer, Field Vista
Posted on: Dec, 07 2017
Primarily Vision is required followed by Assigned Focus on objectives.  Or maybe just love for USA.  The market will not find its way unless it's for organic vegetables and RRR.  Two to three years later will take two to three years longer to the end of the decade, and this is viable today.  God bless america from its present distraction.

Gary Buchs

Owner Operator , Self, Landstar Business Capacity Owner
Posted on: Dec, 17 2017
In My Opinion, the fact that capacity will tighten should be obvious to everyone engaged in the transportation. 
Capacity to move freight isn’t how many trucks or trailers are in the system or what a computer 
program says, it still is truck driver based and poorly-managed companies won’t be able to imporove
this fact.  Investing in people is still most important!

Get ready to pay higher prices for goods and services. I think we could lose 10% of Capacity in many areas. 

Dan

Pres., Bioptechs
Posted on: Dec, 20 2017
After all the ground we have lost in the productive sector and the additional burden that loss of our productive momentum has placed on our society, somebody tell me why so many people are against the actions necessary to restore our vital productive infrastructure! It is like the left enjoys shooting itself in the foot!

Jayaram

Business Development, Raghava Logistics
Posted on: Mar, 04 2018
Great article and thank you for summerizing the predications. 

What does it mean to country like India where the labour is still cheap? Where the logistics cost is still on the higher side compared to some of the developed nations?

Herb Shields

President , HCS Consulting
Posted on: Mar, 06 2018

 I agree that robots can replace some amount of manual labor in logistics centers.  However as you mention, the labor pool is shrinking.  We need more training programs such as the one provided by the Greater West Town organization in Chicago.   Www.gwtp.org.  (It is a program that your readers should find interesting.)

Billy

Associate, BJO
Posted on: Mar, 13 2018
Thanks for this very informative article.

Doug Murless

Country Manager, krunchbox (www.krunchbox.com)
Posted on: Mar, 18 2018

Gone are the days when consumers will wait for a retailer to have the product back in stock, those days are done. We live in the "I want it now" society and with Amazon in their pocket consumers can easily "now" it to themself the next day right from their phone.

The importance of product availability is under the microscope at all retailers as an empty shelf equals lost customers, a poor customer experience and entirely abandoned purchases.

We are on a mission at krunchbox to help suppliers fix their product availability and sell thru and improve their buyer relationships, hopefully before their retail partner fines start rolling in and or we see more retailers close.

NikhilSingh

Executive, Carmatec INC
Posted on: Mar, 21 2018
You are correct There are government programs to encourage investment at small and mid-size manufacturers, but McKinsey says these programs generally have smaller budgets, less certainty of ongoing funding, and more constraints on their mandates than comparable programs in other countries. Policy makers should examine which existing initiatives are producing the most promising results, then scale up those efforts and commit to them for the long term.

Mike Mortson

CEO, Supply Chain Game Changer
Posted on: Jun, 15 2018
I wrote a similar article on supplychaingamechanger.com about the same topic:  Gartner's 2018 Top 25 Supply Chain List!  Is it Still Relevant?  at https://supplychaingamechanger.com/gartners-2018-to…t-still-relevant/

Chuck Nemer

Trainer, The Guru of Biz
Posted on: Aug, 16 2019
Nice metaphor and nice picture.  I'd like to see a bit more meat on the bones if you're going to completely sell me on the concept.

Charles Quail

CLO, Belair
Posted on: Jan, 20 2020
The truth from the road is that rates were so good, that 2018 was the best year we had since 1997.  So as we saw this happening, we saw carriers increased their fleets to capitalize on this gravy train, thus depressing the rates for 2019 from overcapacity.  They also flooded the used truck market, and sales dropped 70%.
We know because we also were thinking of retiring, but cannot sell our lightly used 2019 Mack Anthem because of this.  So we claim it was not the high cost structure, it was the greed.

Tom Miralia

CEO, Distribution Technology
Posted on: Feb, 26 2020
Multistory Bronx DC  $700 million and 1.2 million sqft- what's the rent going to be- $3.50 per sqft per month?  $40+ per sqft annually.  In many metros, thats higher than the best Class A office rent and about 9-10 times a going rate in the suburbs?  Well, space cost is the least cost in supply chain typically- still, must be a compelling business model to drive this?

Let's pretend that a product is valued at $50 a case, 60 cases per pallet, maybe stored in rack at 8 sqft per pallet in a narrow aisle single-select layout of some form- if total logistics expense ranges 8% maybe, then there's $240 in budget to flow goods from sourcing to customer.  Now the retail customer may spend more to get it to the end purchaser which is beyond my scope (and may folks ability to truly model I suspect).  if that pallet occupies that rack spot for 2 months that rent expense might range about $56?  That takes almost the whole budget for warehousing portion of logistics costs before labor, equipment, admin, materials and so on?

I dunno if I'm seeing this right?  Likely I'm off base?


Peter

Sales, Freight sales
Posted on: May, 08 2020

From a sales prospective:  Our company only uses small trucking companies and gives them the business directly. We sell right to the manufacturer.   The companies we sell for have no sales force and are good hardworking companies who would usually have to rely on only brokers. We help them with appointments billing bids when needed. This year despite our companies doing an excellent job and not raising there rates we lost many accounts or were reduced significantly to brokers.

Harry Moser

President, Reshoring Initiative
Posted on: Sep, 24 2020
Mr. Meidinger is correct that high healthcare costs have hurt U.S. mfg. He overstates his case by describing healthcare as the primary cause:
  1. U.S. healthcare costs % of GDP are about 7 points higher. Our mfg. costs are 20 to 40% higher.
  2. The costs paid by taxes in the other countries require highrer salaries and selling prices to obtain the same after tax benefit.
  3. His graph shows correlation, not causation.
  4. For a clear comparison of the impact of various factors, see the Competitiveness Toolkit https://reshorenow.org/search/. We include lower healthcare costs as one of several important factors in driving further increases in reshoring.

Chris Imamura

Executive in Residence, University of Colordao
Posted on: Oct, 10 2020
You note that 28% of Amazon's operating income came from its AWS web services unit.  However, from their 2019 Annual Report, Amazon reported $9.2B of the total $14.5B operating income came from AWS = 63%.  What am I missing?


  

 

Robert Simoneau

Consultant, PolyEd
Posted on: Oct, 13 2020
This is an excellent article but a few more details would help. As a lecturer for the Society of Manufacturing Engineers spent a lot of time working with and teaching Tier suppliers. The stories they told were grim from two perspectives. First US automaker are slow to pay their bills, net whenever. The second is the timeline to pay for tooling, some claimed it took one year to get paid. As one group said we spend most of our time hiding money. I consulted for one of the big three and when I asked a group of managers and engineers, when do you pay your bills, they all laughed in unison ... big joke. I was furious and tried to explain to them how this affected their supply chain. It took a lot of effort for GM to go from 50% market share in the 50s, to less  than 20%. When doing thier financial analysis they forgot about quality related issues and the eventual loss of market share. Interesting Boeing is doing the same thing with pretty much the same result ... sad. 

Jerry Saltzman

Professor, Zicklin Business School, Baruch College
Posted on: Jan, 24 2021
After all the rhetoric and  bluster, it's great to see a data driven the year in review analysis.   it was certainly a wild year but the data shows the resilience of the global and domestic supply chain despite political interference and Policy by tweet.

Dave

Individual, NA
Posted on: Mar, 15 2021
How come SPSC, SPS Commerce isn't included in supply chain software?

Steve Murray

Senior Analyst, Warehousing Education and Research Council
Posted on: Apr, 07 2021
From 1967 to 1972 I worked as a business systems analyst and developer for Safeway Stores, Inc.  At that time Safeway was the largest grocery retailer in the U.S. based on revenue.  It was also highly unionized.  While Safeway supported the efforts to develop a machine readable code for retail checkout, it's relationship with the union kept it from doing so openly as it might reduce the need for price ticketers, and checkers.  Quite frustrating for those of us who were developing solutions.  But back then we had plenty to do working on accounting systems, procurement, warehouse inventory control, retail store replenishment and labor planning - after all this was the dawn of the retail supply chain.  Eventually Safeway signed on to the UPC movement and the rest is, as you say, history. 

AL WEISS

CHAIRMAN, WEISS SUPPLY CHAIN CONSULTANTS
Posted on: Apr, 09 2021
 GREAT ARTICLE!

Rick

supply chain manager, Fresh Mark
Posted on: May, 28 2021
Do you have any information about Hormel's supply chain?

Daniel Druwe Araujo

CPIM, CSCP, T2People
Posted on: Jun, 04 2021

Very appropriate article, explaining the non-qualitative ranking, at least from a Supply Chain Management perspective. 

Once understood what it is not, the ranking is very interesting in terms of identifying the most successful companies in absolute terms.

The question that remains for the professionals interested in learning from the best supply chain designers and managers is exactly which are the most useful ideas and practices that can be learned from the best companies.

Terry Haider

Owner, TC Haider Group
Posted on: Aug, 18 2022
We were one of those contractors who failed in year 1 due to inflation in costs & FedEx not being willing to renegotiate our contract.  There was absolutely nothing we could do to be cash flow positive with paying acquisition debt so we ceased operations on June 30.  I know of another contractor in our smaller terminal who also has been in business several years who doubted he'd make it to peak.  This is a serious problem & if FedEx doesn't get a handle on it soon, their Ground network is very vulnerable & the reputation damage to the business model will stop anyone with a brain from buying in (I obviously didn't and I have an MBA in finance but could not cover the impact from fuel cost & labor cost escalation from my original forecast - mostly fuel cost).  Sorry I ever got involved.  I won't recover financially from this loss over what is left of a potential finance career from my experience.  I counsel colleagues to stay the hell away.  FEdEx is not a real partner in this with their contractors. 

Asher Rapp

None, None
Posted on: Aug, 24 2022
I find it interesting that the company making all these assumptions and graphs is one of the leading underwriters in alternative investments Carbon related funds.   

Rosemary Coates

Host, The Frictionless Supply Chain Podcast
Posted on: Sep, 28 2022
 I would love to interview someone from Schneider about this initiative. My podcast highlights women in supply chain management and is hosted by Supply Chain Management Review.  Please contact me at rcoates@ReshoringInstitiute.org  

Mike Loughrin

CEO, Transformance Advisors
Posted on: Oct, 13 2022
The dramatic fall in ocean container shipping rates is just another sign we are seeing a massive bullwhip effect coming. Other indications are early sales for Christmas items as retailers have too much inventory. Sales on new cars because the dealer lots are full. Sales on bicycles after a period of severe shortages.

We are going to see how many supply chian people over-reacted to the constraints during Covid and now need to deal with excess inventory and capacity.

Mike Albert

VP Business Development, N/A
Posted on: Mar, 15 2023
I'd suggest that Adrian Dalsey, Larry Hillblom, and Robert Lynn should be considered for induction.  They revolutionized the international trade business by devising a process of fly Trade / Clearance documents to speed clearance of international shipments.  They also happen to be the founders of DHL.

Nick Seiersen

Title, Company
Posted on: Mar, 17 2023

AI and ML are indeed intruiging developments of information technology. My understanding is that Machine Learning happens when the system weeds through reams of information and identifies high probability correlations, and infers a relationship of causation. This is extremely dangerous. Think back a century. Men who wore top hats rarely died in poverty. Would a policy of giving out top hats to the poor have been effective? Yet the data would have recommended it.

The case of the chips you give is one of supervised learning. The situations are scored by an expert. When the system encounters another situation, it assesses the characteristics, and makes a determination.

This is all brute force computation, hashing through massive amounts of data and scoring correlations (or data matches), and that is the basis for this "new" technology.

So if you have a solid base of massive amounts of high quality data that has been or could be scored, AI tools (i.e. correlation) are a real option. Such as item level forecast/actual sales, associated with external causation factors.

The breakthrough of ChatGPT is associating a text generating capability as a front end to an inference engine (the massive language model GPT2 or 3). But it is still brute force correlation, hence the propensity for nonsense or what they call "hallucination."

Plain text makes the interface with the artificial intelligence system much easier - everyone knows how to ask a question. The quality of the question will impact the quality of the response, so solid systems understanding will still be a real asset.

Iris

Digital marketing, Vanhaigroup.com
Posted on: May, 25 2023

Great article,I share the same sentiment regarding companies learning towards the safe option. I would be interested in learning more about your company, as we are continuously seeking partnership opportunities. 

 

http://vanhaigroup.com/

Name

Title, Company
Posted on: Jul, 13 2023
The unions are freeloading off the backs of union workers and they don't care about the employees.

John Smith

Road driver, Yellow
Posted on: Jul, 13 2023
Sean O'Brien is using Yellow freight as a pawn in the UPS and T-Force negotiations. He is willing to sacrifice 22,000 Teamster jobs to make his legacy known. He sounds all professional on the news but he was nothing but reckless and acting like a child when he sabotaged Yellow in the media with our customers. 22,000 households over a hundred thousand people not to mention all the folks that support our business that will cut jobs because of our closing. Folks with sick family members, folks who will lose their homes. Families are bankrupted by this. All while Sean is eating up his moment in the spot light. He probably goes home and replays the news broadcast so he can see himself. I don't know how he can look in the mirror at himself when he knows what he is doing to us at Yellow!!!

Name

Title, Company
Posted on: Jul, 13 2023
Made my pension 17 years ago. Thanks its over. Good people work only for long term companies.

None Provided

None Provided, None Provided
Posted on: Jul, 13 2023
 It's time for the ceo to step down and yellow needs to be audited immediately. 

Name

Title, Company
Posted on: Jul, 14 2023
My question is how is it that a company like Yellow keeps buying other companies that were making money and shortly later they are broke.  This is the same way ANR operated for years, then they want to blame the union for not making money.

 

None Provided

None Provided, None Provided
Posted on: Jul, 14 2023
As a former Holland/Yellow driver I saw what drinking the Yellow Kool-aid did to Holland.  Holland was a great company to work for.  They treated drivers with respect . Once Yellow bought  Holland things changed. Management seemed against the union. Service got worse, customers only stayed for cheap prices. Negotiations in the last contract, Yellow had over 50,000 union employees.  Today only 22,000 remain. Yellow got $700 million in a government bailout but instead of pulling up the boot straps and running a better machine they chose to give themselves bonuses.  I ask how can that happen? Bonuses are for a job well done. What job was well done? In the last contract any bonuses must be shared with the union workers. Every Teamster got around $500 before taxes. Yellow has only paid back the taxpayers $230 on the principle but lots of interest over $50 million. It is time for Yellow to just go away.  

Name

Title, Company
Posted on: Jul, 16 2023
Since the merger they've managed to sell all Roadway assets to cover their costs and going for the last of them just to cover costs but somehow they managed to never have any money. Some people are so greedy all they think about is themselves, someone needs to be held accountable for where the money has gone, well you know Trump had a hand in this just saying.

anonymous

clerk, one yellow
Posted on: Jul, 18 2023
First and foremost, one Yellow needs to clean house of those upper corporate executives including D. Hawkins.   That in itself would free up a great deal of money.  Next, reduce the corporate employee force and combine jobs, again, freeing up a great deal of money.   There are too many corporate executives and assistance in the corporate office.  Reduce the head count, combine the jobs and reduce the pay of those that are needed.   
 
This is quite easy, since they did it to the teamsters way back when so it's time for pay back, so do it to them!



 

Big pappa

P&D, Company
Posted on: Jul, 23 2023
This one of the most devastating situations I have ever faced in 53 years of life. I'm angry and sad for the people, I love my co-workers and they are family to me and Yellow freight has destroyed my family. 
 
I hope they have remorse, but upper management knew what they were doing 9 months ago, so it seems they set themselves up to fail? 
 
They had no plan and no safety net, as long as you have a plan of some type you would think there is hope. I've been a truck driver 22 years and have never seen this kind of idiocy in my life. Basically Hawkins and his croneys took the money and ran, they knew what they were doing by lining their pockets with the American tax payers money. Now the American tax payer is going to take the hit by losing their money and paying higher freight rates and 22.000 hard working tax payers are going to lose their jobs with no insurance and little to no retirement. 
 
I have brothers and sisters that have been with this corporation since they were in high school. They have been here for decades. Now they have no health or welfare or retirement, and for some it's time to retire. The big question is "now what". The Federal Government should take over this company and step in and clean house with federal charges against the guilty. 
 
You can't tell me these people are not white collar criminals and nothing but.
 
They cant blame the IBT, we kept them afloat for alot of years.
 



























 

danny

owner, richards enterprises
Posted on: Jul, 26 2023
Management at Yellow have ruined many other trucking companies they have bought. They now have done it to Yellow. Employees are lowest paid in industry they are not at fault.The CEO and other managment should have been replaced a long time ago.

Benjamin Parkinson

Title, Local 881
Posted on: Jul, 28 2023
I've been here for 5 years and every time yellow says they are going to do something it lasts a couple days then it's right back to the same way it was.  They can't keep a terminal manager here long enough to fulfill their changes and promises, the work weather conditions are dreadful. It's either 10° hotter or -10° in temp change then outside, no climate controlled facility. I'm done with their game with teamsters by going bankrupt, oh now were not, oh now we are, now we're not. Make up your mind. Iv'e already have other plans that were in the making since Monday so they can lay me off because I'm sick and tired of the game. We get no answers no information till the last second.  Now once again now we are at the bargaining table and we might not file bankruptcy. It's s joke, make up your mind right now. People it's over, all your customers have fled, you have no revenue, all your employees are gone, you failed as a company so deal with it and move on. 

 

Tony Morrow

Title, Company
Posted on: Jul, 30 2023
Why Yellow bought Roadway, I'll never knew. Unless they wanted more bricks and mortar stations and equipment  and hopefully a large part of Roadway's customer base. I was in the freight business for many years and this rarely if ever happens. 
 

Mark Lilien

IT Director, Kleinfeld Bridal
Posted on: Sep, 18 2023
Many 7-Eleven stores have offered 30 minute delivery around the clock.
 
It is not too hard if the store uses DoorDash or a similar service.  



 

Marc Wulfraat

President, MWPVL International
Posted on: Nov, 07 2023
The Amazon 2022 revenue figure of 117.716bb is directly off of their 10K statement where they provide supplemental financial information.  This is the figure for all of their third party seller services which includes fulfillment services + shipping services.  In point of fact the true transportation revenue component is likely in the 48.8bb range.  Amazon used to report shipping revenue until Q12017 which was 2.5bb for the quarter and then they stopped reporting it.  So one needs to extrapolate and estimate this figure which is how I arrive at the 48.8bb/year estimate.  This transportation revenue is a far cry from the 100bb from UPS so I find this chart distorted.  

Paul Baddick

account manager, LD Systems
Posted on: Feb, 29 2024
This article caught me by surprise.  I cover the Eastern part of Penna. and I have seen move distribution centers being build all across Interstate 78 from Easton to Harrisburg and the 81 corridor from Harrisburg to Scranton.

Mat Woodcock

RVP, Supply Chain Strategy, Coupa
Posted on: Mar, 01 2024

Thanks for sharing!  The additional decision making dimensions Bain are suggesting align pretty closely to the conversations we've been having with our Supply Chain Design & Planning customers.  The days of simply trading off the classic triangle of Cost/Cash/Service are behind us.

In terms of the Bain comment re: resilience being very expensive, and monitoring/recovering and flexible design being a needed capability, that you move on rapidly from in the article - my personal take on that is since it's realistically impossible to build a fully resilient supply chain.  The focus switches to where do you focus your resilience invesment and design for flexibility (excess capacity, switchable manufacturing sites, non-optimal transport lanes, etc.) at a cost - albeit a known one, in the places where it provides the most benefit - which means when something happens you can switch the most critical elements.  While at the same time investing in parallel in being able to see that event happening as early as possible and have the reactive process already established to know where and what you can switch (and critically the senior leadership alignment to press the button).   
I believe it is David Simchi-Levi that coined the approach of increasing your time to survive (ie resilience), while decreasing your time to thrive (the processes and alternatives to get back on track).  As long as you "thrive" before you run out of "surviving time" then you have enough resilience!

tom moore

partner, ProvisionAi
Posted on: Mar, 22 2024
Good article.  The need to optimize loading while routing is an unfilled niche in the market -- but, based on your notes, I don't think they go there.  Like all of us in load optimization, it looks like they do a post routing truckload build.  Only then do you know if everything fits or if there is space.  

Thomas L Dadmun

VP SCM Retired , ADTRAN Retired.
Posted on: Apr, 10 2024

It is important for SCM Profesionals to set up a heirarchy of KPI's based on their business. Soliciting input from the business is key but you need to benchmark your " Best in Class " competitors as well. This seems like a daunting task but most folks welcome the ability to share data as long as your willing to reciprocate as well. 

Here's an example of a hierarchy that was presented in a past SC Digest video, an informative tutorial on how to develop one with your team and with your competitors. Good luck!!

 

Bryan Jensen

Chairperson/EVP, St. Onge Company
Posted on: Apr, 19 2024
John will be greatly missed indeed.  And from my perspective, it was John who generously kept working with us, as was his nature, completely, as you mention, without ego.   We are so much better for having known him. 

Joe Nickence

General Manager, Dracowolf Enterprises
Posted on: May, 07 2024
This is something that is practiced from the smallest to the largest companies. Amazon simply got caught with their hands in the cookie jar. Once AGI and DAOs are in the wilds, this is going to compound.

Steve Murray

Sr. Process Analyst, WERC
Posted on: Jun, 15 2024
Spot on Dan.  I think that we, material handling suppliers and customers, are trying too hard to cover everything with the "AI" paintbrush.  I think of AI as "Intelligent Automation", and as you say "not new age".  There will always be cool new stuff and ways of using it, but I personally believe that we should look at the tools that are available, new and old, and understand better how to use them without thinkng that they will tell us. I like the old IBM adage "Machines should work, people should think".

Steve Murray

Sr. Process Analyst, Warehousing Education and Research Council
Posted on: Jul, 18 2024
We have used "decoupled" processes for hundreds of years.  We call them "Silos".  I understnad the value of the flexibility in the Gartner modes, but I am concerned about the silo effect on both operations and most importantly data. 

Jonathan

Smith, Tata Consultancy Services
Posted on: Aug, 05 2024
Although Texas has three schools with undergraduate programs in the top 10, the states of TN, SC, & GA combined have a 20% smaller population while having three schools that outrank the three in Texas. So much for TX dominating the list. Go Vols, Gamecocks, & Jackets!

Norman Katz

President, Katzscan Inc.
Posted on: Aug, 28 2024
Walmart's offering of LTL and TL services should help their vendors reduce supply chain vendor compliance chargebacks - financial penalties - that occur when shipments are damaged or late.  Inasmuch as the vendor should not be penalized when using the retailer's carrier of choice, by using the carrier that is the retailer itself, this should further diminish the retailer's ability to charge the vendor for late or lost shipments when the shipment was picked up on time. This effectively moves the retailer's (e.g., Walmart's) responsibility for the goods closer to the point of pickup.  
 

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