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May 1 3, 2025

 

Grant Sernick
SVP Sales & Marketing

3rdwave

Grant Sernick is the Senior Vice President of Sales and Marketing at 3rdwave, a software platform purpose-built to simplify the operational chaos of international supply chains. With over 20 years of experience across international transportation, import operations, and trade compliance, Grant helps importers modernize how they manage shipments, comply with customs regulations, and control landed costs.

A recognized expert in customs compliance, duty mitigation strategies, and regulatory data, Grant works at the intersection of trade regulations and operational execution—areas where most ERP and TMS systems fall short. At 3rdwave, he’s been instrumental in developing tools that allow companies to move beyond spreadsheets and siloed systems to achieve audit-ready compliance, shipment-level visibility, and SKU-level cost accuracy.

Grant is also the author of Thinking Out Loud, a widely read LinkedIn newsletter that challenges conventional thinking in logistics tech and global trade. His writing regularly explores the structural flaws in how companies manage international transportation, and what supply chain leaders must do to adapt to today’s environment of regulatory scrutiny, geopolitical risk, and rising customer expectations.


 

The Real Reason You Can’t Get Good Transportation Visibility: It’s Not the Ports


For most of my career, supply chain leaders have blamed poor transportation visibility on external chaos—port congestion, customs delays, drayage slowdowns, or unreliable carriers. And sure, these factors matter. But they’re not the root cause.

The real reason visibility is broken is internal: most companies lack systems capable of understanding and integrating transportation data. The ports aren’t the problem. Your architecture is.

The Blame Game

We tell ourselves visibility failures are the fault of the outside world:

“The port is backed up.”
“Customs is holding the container.”
“Our forwarder didn’t send the milestone update.”

It’s comforting to think the problem is out of our control. But that excuse no longer holds up. Real-time data feeds from platforms like Vizion, Project44, and FourKites now exist. The problem isn’t access to data—it’s what companies do with it.

Most can’t systematically consume, interpret, and act on transportation events. They lack the infrastructure to translate raw data into operational insight. And that failure is architectural.


The Systems Problem

Let’s break down why internal systems—not external bottlenecks—are the real issue.

1. ERPs Weren’t Built for Transportation

Enterprise Resource Planning systems like SAP and Oracle are great at managing financials, POs, and inventory. But they treat transportation as an afterthought:

  • A shipment is just a “goods receipt”
  • In-transit visibility doesn’t exist
  • Port arrivals, customs releases, and delays are invisible

From the moment a container leaves your supplier’s factory, your ERP goes blind. And you’re stuck managing global supply chains with systems designed for accounting.

2. TMS Platforms Focus on Domestic

Transportation Management Systems (TMS) like SAP TM or MercuryGate were designed for domestic logistics—rate shopping, load tendering, freight payment. These are valuable for high-volume domestic moves. But international is a different beast:

  • Multi-modal complexity: ocean → rail → drayage
  • Third parties: forwarders obscure carrier-level visibility
  • Regulations: cross-border moves require customs compliance
  • Lead times: LA to NYC is 5 days. Shanghai to LA can be 40.
  • Risk: ocean delays, inspections, and port congestion are routine

Most TMS platforms don’t handle this complexity. They graft domestic functionality onto international moves—missing the actual pain points.

3. Event Data Is Fragmented and Misused

Even when companies ingest third-party data, they often mishandle it:

  • Status updates arrive as unstructured messages
  • Business rules for interpreting those events don’t exist
  • Systems can’t answer basic questions like:

 “Will this shipment arrive on time?”
 “Should we expedite drayage?”
 “Are we going to miss our customer promise?”

You drown in milestone data—but still can’t act decisively. Why? Because visibility without context is just noise.


What Real Visibility Requires

True visibility isn’t a dashboard or another API. It’s a system that integrates data, understands relationships, and enables action. That means:

1. Make the Shipment a First-Class Object

A shipment must live as its own digital entity—not buried in a PO or invoice. It should evolve over time and have a projected future based on real-time data. Without this, updates are just isolated events without meaning.

2. Continuously Ingest and Interpret Events

You need automated ingestion from diverse sources, validation of each milestone, dynamic re-projection of timelines, and threshold-based alerts. Visibility is not a report. It’s an ongoing, analytical process.

3. Bridge Shipments and Products

Most systems think in terms of either shipments or SKUs—but not both. To drive action, your system must:

  • Know what’s in each container
  • Update delivery forecasts at the SKU level
  • Alert Sales, Customer Service, and Planning when key products are delayed

4. Visibility Must Drive Execution

It’s not enough to know something is late. You need to do something:

  • Reallocate inventory
  • Expedite drayage
  • Prioritize receiving
  • Notify customers

The ultimate test of a visibility system isn’t what it shows you—it’s what it helps you change.


Why This Is Now Existential

You used to get away with broken visibility. Slack in the system covered for delays. But today?

  • E-commerce and D2C demand precision
  • ESG rules require traceability
  • Margins evaporate when shipments miss delivery windows
  • Geopolitical volatility makes early warnings essential

You can’t compete without real-time, actionable visibility. And you won’t get that from legacy systems or another dashboard.


It Was Never the Ports

Ports, carriers, and forwarders have always been messy. That’s not new.

What’s new is the expectation: Customers expect reliable delivery. And companies that fail to redesign their architecture around this operational reality will fall behind.

The future belongs to those who treat transportation not as a black box—but as a dynamic, living process.

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