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April 3, 2025


Rick Davis
CEO

Demand Chain AI

Richard Davis founded Demand Chain AI in 2018 to provide strategic advisory services to the CPG industry after retiring from Kellogg Company, where he spent 27 years in leadership roles. He led functions across Sales, Planning, Analytics, Data Strategy, and Logistics. At Kellogg, he created the Global Data Office and served on the GS1 – US Executive Leadership Committee. Davis advises major brands, speaks on data and analytics, and has served on the White House Council for Open Data.

 

A CGT Visionary Award recipient, he continues to drive innovation in data, analytics, and process optimization across the industry.

info@demandchainai.com

 

Unlocking Efficiencies in CPG: Integrating Demand Sensing with Production Planning


Integrating Demand Sensing with Production Planning


In today’s fast-paced CPG manufacturing landscape, integrating demand sensing with production planning is revolutionizing the way companies operate. By leveraging real-time data and AI-driven technologies, businesses can optimize manufacturing efficiency, reduce inventory levels and maximize capacity utilization.

Traditional production planning often relies on outdated demand forecasts, leading to inefficiencies. Integrating demand sensing with production planning addresses these issues by utilizing the most recent data to inform decisions. The key advantages include:

Davis Says...

Simply put, deploying demand sensing to a sophisticated
production scheduling system delivers the best of both worlds.

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Real-Time Decision-Making: Unlike months-old demand plans, demand sensing ensures that manufacturers respond swiftly to market changes and avoid costly mismatches between supply and demand.

Optimized Production Sequencing: By minimizing downtime and changeovers, companies can maximize throughput. This streamlined approach can increase effective capacity by up to 20% without requiring additional capital investment.

Lower Inventory Levels: With more accurate forecasts, businesses can reduce excess inventory while maintaining high service levels. This leads to cost savings and improved customer satisfaction.

Real-Time Adjustments: Multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) systems coordinate tasks in real time, optimizing production workflows and reducing downtime.

Enhanced Customer Service: Meeting demand with precision helps avoid stockouts and ensures timely delivery, boosting customer loyalty.

The integration of demand sensing and production planning is powered by advanced AI-driven technologies:

AI Optimization Engines: These engines work alongside existing ERP systems to process vast amounts of data daily. For example, some systems analyze up to 144,000 models nightly for a single customer.

• Machine Learning (ML): ML algorithms build and blend optimal forecasting models tailored to specific products, customers, or locations. This ensures high accuracy in predicting demand patterns.

• Automated Anomaly Detection: AI systems automatically detect and correct inconsistencies in forecast data, ensuring reliability in decision-making processes.

• Real-Time Adjustments: Multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) systems coordinate tasks in real time, optimizing production workflows and reducing downtime.

 

Implementation Challenges and Solutions

Despite its transformative potential, integrating demand sensing with production planning comes with challenges, including data quality issues, skepticism from past failures and change management for employees. Each of these challenges has a specific set of solutions for CPG companies. Poor data quality that undermines forecast accuracy will be addressed identifying relevant data sources and ensure proper ingestion processes.

Partnering with technology providers will help streamline this step. By delivering value without replacing the existing ERP systems, organizations can overcome the residual wariness due to disappointing results from previous software implementations. AI-driven tools should complement rather than disrupt current workflows. Last, the managers of employees resisting changes that alter their roles need to have then focus on high-value activities such as anomaly investigation while automating routine tasks. Comprehensive training programs will ease the transition.

To measure the effectiveness of integrating demand sensing with production planning,
companies should track these metrics:

To achieve seamless integration of demand sensing and production planning, consider these best
practices:

Production Planning with Real-Time Data: Ensure that production schedules are
informed by up-to-the-minute demand signals rather than static forecasts.

Document New Processes: Maintain thorough documentation to guide employees
through new workflows.

Implement Robust Change Management: Develop strategies to address employee
concerns, provide training on new tools and share financial rewards in recognition of
efficiency gains.

• Optimize Product Sequencing: Regularly review your planning data to ensure accuracy,and document Standard Operating Procedures for planning processes.

Resource-Specific Needs: Tailor optimization efforts to account for the unique capacities
of different machines or teams.

Strong Leadership: Senior and mid-level management levels need to deploy a Sales &
Operations Process (S&OP) culture that can withstand personnel transitions over time.  

Perpetual S&OP: As AI that shortens traditional month-long activities to minutes, it is
critical to constantly be balancing supply and demand.  

End State for CPG Companies

The ultimate goal of integrating demand sensing with production planning varies depending on a
company’s capacity constraints. Capacity-constrained companies achieve up to 20% growth in
effective capacity without additional investments by automatically optimizing production
sequences, offloading to alternate resources and prebuilding inventory within stock boundaries
and internal shelf life constraints. Companies with excess capacity reduce operational costs while
improving margins by maximizing throughput during operational hours without overextending
resources.

Further, CPG companies will derive even more benefits from an automated production scheduling system that is automatically refreshed every day based on updated demand forecasts and provides schedulers with scenario planning that considers current constraints which otherwise would take weeks. Simply put, deploying demand sensing to a sophisticated production scheduling system delivers the best of both worlds.

By embracing this approach, CPG brands will enhance their agility, profitability and customer satisfaction in an increasingly competitive market. Integrating demand sensing with production planning represents a paradigm shift in manufacturing efficiency. By leveraging AI-driven optimization engines and overcoming implementation challenges through best practices, companies unlock significant benefits—ranging from reduced inventory costs to enhanced customer service—while paving the way for sustainable growth.

The experts from Demand Chain AI, all of whom have practical experience, help CPG
companies and retailers address their supply chain challenges and opportunities every day. More information is available HERE.

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