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Supply
Chain by the Numbers |
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- Feb. 15, 2024
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Chinese Demographic Woes; US Manufacturing down Slightly in January; Chicago Suburb Bans New DCs; 2023 Robot Sales Fall Sharply |
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500,000 |

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That is the reduction in births in China last year, more evidence of a demographic tsunami that will continue to hold back economic growth – and largely the result of the “one child” policy enacted back in1980. As reported this week by the Wall Street Journal, at the time governments around the world feared overpopulation would hold back their economies. A Moscow-trained missile scientist led the push for China’s policy, based on tables of calculations that applied mathematical models used to calculate rocket trajectories to population growth. Now more than four decades later, China is aging much earlier in its development than other major economies did. The shift to fewer births and more elderly citizens threatens to hold back economic growth. In a generation that grew up without siblings, young women are increasingly reluctant to have children—and there are fewer of them every year. And Beijing is at a loss on how to change the mindset brought about by the policy.
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That was the level of the US manufacturing output index for January, as released this week as usual by the Federal Reserve bank. That was half a percentage down from the index level of 99.1 seen in December, and about the same as scores hovering around the 99.0 level since February 2023, with no real growth, but not recessionary with declines either. The January score, was also down 0.9% from the same period in 2023. At an index level of 99.1, it means US manufacturing is still below output in the baseline year of 2017 (index = 100) now seven years later. It is also well below the all-time high of about 108, reached in late 2007. |
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30% |
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That, oddly, was the drop in orders for manufacturing and distribution robots in North America in 2023, according to a new report from robot trade group the Association for Advancing Automation (A3). North American companies purchased 31,159 robots in 2023, compared to a 44,196 ordered in 2022 and 39,708 in 2021. These 2023 orders were divided almost equally among automotive (15,723 robots sold) and non-automotive companies (15,436 robots sold). What happened? A3 cites a large drop in robot deployments in the automotive sector, as well as a slow US economy, higher interest rates and even the over purchasing of robots in 2022 from supply chain concerns. |
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