February 3 , 2005

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i2 gave up all of last week's gain and a penny more, down $.07 per share, nearly 11.3% of its value, over the past week. Only Ariba and Logiltiy posted gains, up $.48 and $.10 per share, respectively. For the Month, Quarter and Year our chart is covered in red ink, with every stock down, but Oracle and Logility in the One Quarter column.

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Dan Gilmore
Editor-in-Chief

Collaboration: Buy, Sell or Hold?


Taking a page from the Motley Fool’s trademark question to investment pundits on individual stocks, while moderating an all-star panel at this week’s Retail Industry Leaders Association annual logistics conference in San Diego, I ask panelists how they viewed supply chain “collaboration”: Buy, Sell or Hold?

It’s an interesting question, because at some levels progress on collaboration, both of the CPFR-specific variety and more general collaboration, has slowed a bit over the past couple of years.

First, I would highly recommend the RILA Logistics conference itself to supply chain and logistics professionals in both the retail and consumer-related industries. It’s a very executive-level audience, representing many of North America’s greatest companies and supply chains. The quality of the presentations and “potpourri’s (sessions featuring open give and take on key issues) is generally outstanding. Where else can you find Mitch Stover, Sr. VP of Distribution at Target, and Johnnie Dobbs, his counterpart at Wal-Mart, sharing both the podium and many of their perspectives, approaches and learnings to a roomful of distribution professionals? (See “News and Views” piece nearby).

Back to collaboration. Our panel session was on the last day, which was interesting because the need for more collaboration, especially between carriers, shippers and everyone else involved in the global movement of goods, had been called for repeatedly by a succession of speakers and audience members in earlier sessions. Our panelists were Bruce Johnson, VP of Distribution for Canadian Tire, Fred Berkheimer, VP of Logistics for Unilever HPC NA, and John Fontanella, VP of supply chain research at analyst firm Yankee Group.

Canadian Tire (the largest mass merchant north of the border) has done simply an outstanding job of collaboration, sharing a huge amount of data with now some 200 of its key suppliers. It’s a story we don’t have room for today, but it has keenly honed its demand planning skills and capabilities, which it then uses to communicate a rolling 26-week forecast that it shares with both suppliers and carriers, with the unit forecast translated into every conceivable derivative that could be of use to its partners (cartons, cube, weight, containers, etc.). While Canadian Tire has achieved a multitude of benefits, including improved turns and reduced out-of-stocks, Johnson noted some of the biggest gains have come from reduced logistics costs – by driving DC labor, transportation decisions, slotting and many other decisions from the forecast, it has significantly improved the flow goods and total logistics costs.

Berkheimer compared the early days of CPFR to driving the original model T’s – it took a lot of fussing and many steps to get the thing to run. He then noted that as a manufacturer dealing with many retailers, “it was like we were trying to keep 20 model T’s going.” While recognizing some of the continuing challenges, Berkheimer observed that substantial recent improvements in supporting technology have had an impact, and that the technology support plus experience in working out the kinks in the business relationships had allowed them to scale Unilever’s collaborations and start to drive real benefits from CPFR.

Fontanella added the sharp observation that companies embarking on collaboration at a partner’s request often initially find they don’t know enough about their own business processes to really collaborate effectively.


Some closing thoughts: Berkheimer posed a simple question that is perhaps the clearest way to think about the how to frame collaborative opportunities: “Maybe the best way to think about collaboration,” he noted, “is to ask: If this were just one company, how would we do things differently?” It’s a great way to start thinking about the possibilities, challenged only perhaps by the fact that many companies haven’t yet been able to integrate supply chain goals and processes within their enterprise walls.

While I think the term “collaboration” is overused, and has come to mean even the most basic business system integration in some cases, for supply chain industry leaders, there are limited gains left to be squeezed from internal operations. Only changes to the extended supply chain, whatever you call it, can today lead to major performance gains.

What’s your stance on collaboration: buy, sell or hold, and why? How do you define collaboration?

Let us know your thoughts.


Target and Wal-Mart Execs on Distribution

Tractor Supply Company Plows New Ground in “The Last 30 Yards”

Poor Man’s Warehouse Labor Management?

Summary and comment below.

 

The Supply Chain Technologist

Should You Push or Pull RFID Data?


By Mark Fralick
SCDigest Contributing Editor

In my last RFID coIumn, I explained the importance of understanding how you and/or your RFID vendors will deal with the “context” of read data. Here’s why: the processes occurring in the facility coupled with the integration (communication) ability of the execution system (such as a WMS) will ultimately determine where context decisions are made and, therefore, where the processing is done. I like to think of this is as the “push or pull” decision (although there is a case for a combination of push and pull).

We’ll consider by using a typical distribution example: truck loading. We have a set of dock doors similar to those in the figure below. (click here for diagram in full article) Each dock door could be equipped with photo-eyes under the gateway frame where the antennas are mounted. Additionally, a light stack may be used to visually indicate to the fork truck driver that pallet is correct and accounted for.

Push Example:

In this situation, pallet jacks are loading a truck and are not being controlled by a WMS. Therefore, the Edge, using RFID “middleware” functionality, is doing the bulk of the context work. In addition to the readers, the photo eye and stack light are controlled by the Edge Device. The Edge Device uses presence detection from the photo-eye to activate the reader(s) for the corresponding door. The edge interrogates the tags for a pallet tag and any case tags. The processing might look like this ...

Click Here for the Full Column

 

Port congestion isn’t likely to improve any time soon – what is the forecast for annual overseas container shipment growth over the next 10 years?

Answer below

Agree or Disagree? Have a Perspective to Share with Your Peers?


Feedback is coming in at a rate greater than we can publish it – thanks for your response.

Ok, we’re still really backed up. Our feedback of the week is from Ken Barker of American Textile, with a great letter questioning some of the thinking behind an article we referenced that spoke to where Gillette expects to get ROI from RFID.

You also find a brief note from Mark Baxa of Monsanto with some kind words on the presentation Dan Gilmore made on Integrated Logistics to the St. Louis CSCMP/CLM roundtable (email us if you would like to discuss Dan speaking at your event), letters on RFID and POS data, digital business transformation, and more. You'll also find a response below from a manager of SynTime, responding to a letter last week questioning some of the company’s employment ads in China.

For the complete comments from readers, click here.

Keep the dialog going! Give us your thoughts on this week's Supply Chain topics.

feedback@scdigest.com

 

 

NEWS AND VIEWS

Target and Wal-Mart Logistics Execs Share Thoughts on Distribution

Great “distribution potpourri” session at the RILA conference led by Mitch Stover, Sr. VP of Distribution at Target, and Johnnie Dobbs, VP of Logistics at Wal-Mart, not only for their insight, but also for the fact that RFID hardly came up at all.

Quick summary of a few of the key discussion points:

Challenges of going to 7 x 24 DC operations: Both have been very pleased with their efforts, though acknowledged the issue can be difficult when converting an existing DC versus starting a new one in 24x7 mode. Both companies are running two sets of shifts (4 x 10 and 3 x 12), with some weekend pay premiums. The main point was that the benefits from additional leverage of its distribution center assets was enormous, not only in terms of reducing the needed multi-million DCs, but also in improving store service levels. Stover said Target really hasn’t had any store service issues since they went to this schedule. Some keys to success identified were to give pretty flexible scheduling when converting an existing DC, really focusing on training with the influx of new employees, and having consistent supervisor/management personnel on the new shifts. Now, both execs would like to see more of the vendors on the same schedule.

Both of course run heavily automated DCs operations, and now are looking more at rifle shots to solve specific problems. I liked Dobbs perspective, though, that “We first say, ‘Let’s try to automate everything,’ and then back off based on ROI."
Reducing operations is a big focus for both retailers, often representing a third of total DC labor costs. There continues in some quarters to be the misconception that Wal-Mart had long ago leapt on the UCC-128/ASN bandwagon – as Dobbs noted, they are only getting vendor ASNs from a portion of their base, mostly for specific product types. So, both companies have/will continue to automate receiving processes, and this is another big driver of RFID, ultimately enabling nearly unattended receipts.
Interestingly, contrary to the normal dialog these days, both execs were positive on taking a base distribution/WMS package and doing heavy modifications to it to meet specific needs. As Stover said, “Target is a distribution company – it’s a core competence,” in explaining why the heavy investment in custom systems/functionality is smart business for them. But both retailers continue to add “bolt-on’ applications for specific functions (areas of automation, for example). It was stated that the base WMS almost becomes for them just the primary vehicle to maintain transactions to all the corporate inventory, merchandising and financial systems, with processing functionality achieved with bolt-ons.
Both emphasized the need to understand all the ways inventory can enter your DC. The fact that there are so many paths (buyers, merchandisers, vendors/VMI, etc.) is in part what makes the challenge of inventory reduction so great.


Lots more than we have space for – go to RILA next year, where they will probably do it again.

What are your thoughts on three-shift or 7x24 operations? Are some companies building more DCs than they need to because they won’t take this step? Will vendors to retail ultimately have to synch deliveries and operations even more in tune with the big box retailers? And what can we do about all those inventory paths into the system? Let us know your thoughts.


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Tractor Supply Company Tackles Back Room to Floor

Stan Ruta, Sr. VP of Store Operations for Tractor Supply, gave a nice presentation on his company’s successful efforts to improve the flow of goods from DCs to the store shelf.

It started with an audience poll question that showed a large majority of retail attendees do not even measure the time it takes from receipt in the back room to movement to the floor. While not scientific, think this informal poll is pretty accurate of the true picture.

He started with a simple proposition: If freight isn’t moved efficiently all the way to the shelf, “the consequences are huge.” Those consequences include out-of-stocks, customer satisfaction, inventory turns, profits. Tractor Supply faced some of those issues, and embarked on a project to improve the flow of goods to the floor.

The company assembled a best practices team to focus on how to improve this process, with significant representation from store operations at the regional, district and store level, plus distribution, IT and transportation.

A number of roadblocks to more efficient delivery to the floor were identified, such as poor communication of delivery times to the stores, mismatch between products in totes and on pallets versus store layouts, challenging in-store receiving processes using very long, multi-page packing lists, items that had to be assembled in-store, not well considered approaches to vendor-direct deliveries, and no real dedicated teams or disciplined scheduling for receipts and floor putaway.

The teams recommended approaches that solved most of the problems without need for many investments in new systems. Steps included substantially improving communication of deliveries to enable proactive scheduling, reslotting of the DCs so that totes and pallets better match store layouts, moving to “assumed receipts” for all except high cost items, working with vendors to significantly reduce store assembly time for many products, and dedicated “freight teams” in-store that worked either early or late.

All this happenedd, from kick-off to pilots in select stores to chain wide roll-out, in about nine months. Tractor Supply is considering changing its initial goal, to get product from backroom receipt to the store floor in 24 hours, to “freight in 8,” in part by looking at moving goods from receipt straight to the floor.

This “last 30 yards” thing is of course what’s emerging as perhaps the real driver behind RFID – but that’s for another time. Whatever the mechanism, as Tractor Supply’s story shows, this is a huge area for potential improvement for most retailers.

Why is “the last 30 yards” so hard for retailers to manage? Do many/most have relatively simple opportunities to make major gains with then right focus and attention? Should there be more retailer-vendor collaboration on this issue? Let us know your thoughts.

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New Visual Performance Management System Catches SCDigest’s Eye

We’re generally big backers here of “labor management” in logistics – tools and systems that enabled detailed reporting at an individual level of performance against discrete, engineered standards. But a vendor exhibiting at RILA caught our eye with a solution that might be termed ”poor man’s labor management.”

It’s from a company called Symon (www.symon.com), which was exhibiting a system that basically combines some software with some smarts about pulling data out of databases and constructing business rules with it, and a series of large electronic displays to flexibly output the data.

The company has its roots in and sells many systems to call centers. The concept there: visually show how everyone is performing in near real time, drive competition among callers, show how teams are doing against goals, etc.

They have now taken the solution into distribution, and have one customer, Stage Stores. The basic idea: get rid of white boards and other difficult-to-manage traditional “visual, visible” performance monitors, and to create some competition among individual employees and teams in terms of output by seeing in real-time how they stack up against each other. The result of this visual competition, Symon argues, will be increased productivity. It will also provide performance data to management that will also drive improved performance.

This kind of system would have the downside of any system that doesn’t use discrete standards (a pick is a pick regardless of how hard it is). Still, the visual part is compelling, and for companies that don’t want to develop standards, this could be an interesting approach to get part of the way there.

Do we need better use of visual performance systems in distribution? Let us know your thoughts.

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FEEDBACK

Feedback of the week - On Gillette’s thoughts on RFID payback:


I have personally met Jamshed Dubash and have heard his theories about RFID. My personal opinion is that his methods for calculating ROI (pelaton) are not scientific, even though they look rational. He has a large grid that he uses to explain the payback for implementing RFID, but a large number of the metrics used in the rationale are subjective. If he will part with it, you should get a copy of the full peloton model and see if it looks more like science or slight of hand.

I believe in RFID and think it is a technology that can ultimately help in the warehousing and supply chain management arenas. But I don't believe in forcing the technology on companies and the general public. There are consumer privacy concerns, some legitimate, some not, that should be addressed. However, the organizations that discuss these concerns treat them as nuisances from an unformed public and dismiss them out of hand. That's wrong. It doesn't help that the proponents of RFID can't keep their stories straight. I have attended presentations in which the presenter brushes off RFID's ability to track people's movements with: "The technology can only read RFID tags within about 18 inches, so what's the problem?" Then in the next breath, the same presenter brags about operational RFID setups that can read a car mounted RFID tag and everyone's RFID-enabled badges in the car as they go through a checkpoint onto a military base. So, which is it: 18 inches or 11 feet? Also, the RFID proponents talk about the harmlessness of the data. The public is told that it is just supply chain data, nothing more. However, when the question arises as to whether the public will have access to the vast RFID-collected data, the nervous answer is: "Well, we could make a subset of one of the databases available to the public on-line, but they won't have access to everything." That doesn't sound very harmless. The American public catch these inconsistencies every time.

Another major problem with RFID is that it is a technology of the rich and for the rich. Some of the organizations pushing RFID have RFID research labs bigger than the 8 door loading dock at my company. If you are a company like Gillette, with high priced product and an MIT connection, you have the capital and can at least project an ROI for using RFID. If, on the other hand, you are a smaller company with lower priced, high-volume product, the RFID equation is almost entirely cost, with little or no ROI projected out to 5 years or more. It is expensive to implement using the "slap and ship" methodology, but even more expensive to try to leverage it into your operation. And you can't just implement it, like any other technology. Each installation is different and you need to set up a test system/lab, to see what you need to implement it in your facility. That typically costs about $50,000 for a small test system, if you have the room and you're going to need a lot of room. You need to figure out which RFID readers (buy), antennas (buy) and tags (buy) work best in your facility with your product. Don't forget, your cartons should be capable of reading at 100% on a conveyor going 600 feet per minute (that's 10 feet per second and, yes, it is as quick as it sounds). So you'll probably need a circular test conveyor outfitted with RFID equipment that can go this fast if you don't have one. You are supposed to have a final RFID read when the merchandise is loaded on the truck at shipping time, so you will either need to outfit your forktrucks with RFID readers and antennas, or you will need to outfit your dock doors with that equipment. All this equipment has to be connected to your network, which will increase your network traffic as much as 600% of normal, so you may need to upgrade your networking equipment (buy). You need to store the data, so you will need to expand your existing disk capacity (buy). Don't forget, that the cables connecting the antennas to the readers have to be a specific length to coincide with the frequency you are using, or you will detune the antennas and make them less efficient. Of course, all this technology is beyond almost every mere mortal, so you either need to get educated (buy training) or hire a consulting firm (buy expertise) who is a specialist in this technology that no one has successfully implemented, yet. And, don't forget tags. You'll need tags to test with, so you need to get out there and buy some. Once you have bought all this, and spent considerable man-hours figuring it out and testing it, you will be ready to buy the equipment you will install in production. Oh, and don't forget tags. You'll need lots of tags, so get out there and buy some. You can see why the RFID consulting firms and hardware vendors everywhere are salivating. For most smaller companies, it is a deduction from their profit margin and their only option is to take the least expensive way out.

If you listen to the consultants, the hardware vendors, and the big players and get caught up in the RFID hype, you will almost certainly lose if you're not a fairly large company. The catch is that the whole concept depends on getting everyone on board. If there isn't universal implementation, tag costs remain high because there isn't enough demand to drive production into cost-effectiveness and what little ROI that was projected disappears for everyone who has implemented.

Ken Barker
American Textile


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On Dan Gilmore speaking in St. Louis:

Dan, thanks for coming to speak at the St. Louis CSCMP Roundtable. People were very pleased with your presentation on "Integrated Logistics." You had real substance to your talk and did a great job of working through the subject.

Mark Baxa
Monsanto


On RFID digital business transformation:

Some very meaty topics in this week's issue!

A few random comments, cutting across two of your articles (Gillette's RFID plans, and the "Digital Business Transformation" piece).

RFID/EPC will be THE way we track units through the supply chain...eventually. It will only get people excited when we prove that the retailer can use the information to improve in store operations enough to significantly reduce out of stocks, and when the manufacturer can harness the information to improve the forecast...not before. Some companies (and Gillette may be one of them) can show wins via loss elimination from theft, or greater product visibility due to less "secure" in store placement, but the real holy grail is out of stock reduction and forecast improvement.

I also completely agree with the points made in the DBT article (by my old mentor Ralph Drayer and his associates), with an exclamation point on the reasons behind lack of effective collaboration. Taking that issue one step further, it is not only "old best practices" preventing better collaboration, it is also the fact that most corporations have still not learned to develop effective cross functional organizations,
and supporting measures, to encourage collaboration INSIDE the companies, much less across company boundaries. "Horizontally" structured organizations, with measures that cut across the boundaries, are required as a first step to supply chain integration. We have a long way to go!

Lamar Johnson
P&G (retired)



On use of POS data and RFID:

It is true that companies have not taken full advantage of the POS data. Few of the reasons for the same are:

-- Too hard to gather complete and useful information at the time of sales.
-- Difference in identifiers (product Id, UOM etc) used by secondary sales and by the company
-- Lack of focus by the companies to analyze the POS data (they are strugling to get the sales out).

RFID / EPC is going to make the POS data collection and transmit it back to manufacturer easier. Since the original sales itself is going to be simpler, business will have time to analyze the POS data in a timely fashion and make corrections to their complete supply chain elements.

Santhosh Kumar
Bristlecone Inc



On SynTime:

Thank you for your feedback regarding SynTime's employment section. It is true that China does not have the same equal opportunity employment regulations and "open mindedness" as the United States, and employers are quite direct at stating their requirements regarding age and sex. (Unfortunately, even though the U.S. does have these regulations, employers often do the same screening but is just not as overt.)

There are numerous other ways that Chinese companies operate that are different from the U.S. companies, some due to cultural differences while others are due to yet-to-be-enlightened attitudes of people. It is not realistic for any Western company to expect that a Chinese company, or a European company for that matter, operate the same way as a U.S. company. So it is not quite fair for you to judge Chinese companies through purely Western glasses. However, as China opens up more to the rest of the world, it is reasonable to expect that over time Chinese companies will learn about and adopt the more enlightened and effective management methods of Western companies. And as SynTime enters the Western business world more aggressively, it is this kind of feedback that will ensure that our company will become more aligned to world standards. So thank you again for your feedback. We will carefully consider ways that we can handle this better.

Tom Chin
SynTime

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SUPPLY CHAIN TRIVIA

Q.

Port congestion isn’t likely to improve any time soon – what is the forecast for annual overseas container shipment growth over the next 10 years?

A.

A little over 9% compounded according to a number of industry sources. At that rate, volumes double in about 7 years.

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