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SCDigest Expert Insight: Supply Chain by Design

About the Author

Dr. Michael Watson, one of the industry’s foremost experts on supply chain network design and advanced analytics, is a columnist and subject matter expert (SME) for Supply Chain Digest.

Dr. Watson, of Northwestern University, was the lead author of the just released book Supply Chain Network Design, co-authored with Sara Lewis, Peter Cacioppi, and Jay Jayaraman, all of IBM. (See Supply Chain Network Design – the Book.)

Prior to his current role at Northwestern, Watson was a key manager in IBM's network optimization group. In addition to his roles at IBM and now at Northwestern, Watson is director of The Optimization and Analytics Group.

By Dr. Michael Watson

April 30, 2013



Don't Let the Term "Optimization" Become a Buzzword

Why You Should Care What Optimization Means, How it Fits in with Analytics, and Is it Real Time?


Dr. Watson Says:

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We want to give optimization a more precise definition so you can see the possibilities for using this technology to help your business and to help you evaluate solutions.
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What Do You Say?



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During several Videocasts on SCDigest, several people have asked us how optimization is different from analytics. 

I can understand where the confusion comes from. 

First, analytics is a term that is used loosely.  In a previous SCDigest column, I suggested that it is better to think about analytics as a field composed of descriptive analytics (for reporting and understanding the business), predictive analytics (for forecasting and projecting what might happen), and prescriptive analytics (suggesting what should happen, using optimization technology).

Second, optimization is often loosely used to mean that you are improving something.  If we use optimization in this context, it can mean almost anything.  We want to give optimization a more precise definition so you can see the possibilities for using this technology to help your business and to help you evaluate solutions. 

Optimization technology allows you to model your business with the language of mathematics and then determine the best set of decisions.  In the supply chain, it is most often associated with linear or integer programming.  Optimization is a rich field with proven methods for coming up the best possible solution.  To contrast this, other techniques for finding a solution (known as heuristics) may seem logical, but may not be giving you good answers. 

I’ve heard supply chain managers claim that they do “optimization” because they locate their facilities with a network design tool.  If you limit optimization to just this, you are missing out on a lot of opportunities. 


Columns by Dr. Watson

The Three Use Cases for Data Scientists

Learn Python, PuLP, Jupyter Notebooks, and Network Design

EOQ Model and the Hidden Costs of Fixed Costs

CSCMP Edge - Nike Quote: "It is All an Art Project Until you Get it on Someone's Feet"

Supply Chain by Design: Why Business Leaders should think of AI as an Umbrella Term

Putting AI in the Hands of Truckers

Supply Chain by Design: Reinforcement Learning Explained Using the Beer Game

Supply Chain by Design: Simple Game for Teaching the Value of Optimization

Four Supply Chain Lessons from the Amazon book The Everything Store

Supply Chain by Design: What Toyota, Schneider National, PayPal, and Palantir Got Right

Supply Chain by Design: Service Level Measures in the Supply Chain, Part 2

Supply Chain by Design: Service Level Measures in the Supply Chain

Supply Chain by Design: Nike's Phil Knight on the Importance of Supply Chain

Supply Chain by Design: Four Lessons from Hau Lee's Green Car Story Updated for the Era of Machine Learning

Supply Chain by Design: Profitability of Your Assets Depends on how you use Them

Supply Chain by Design: The Most Overlooked and Underestimated Data in Supply Chain Design

Supply Chain by Design: Self Driving Trucks May Create New Roles and New Types of Jobs

Supply Chain by Design: Why Driverless Trucks May Create the Need for More Drivers

Supply Chain by Design: A Non Obvious Way Self Driving Trucks May Impact Your Network Design Strategy

Supply Chain by Design: How You Should be Using Multi-Echelon Inventory Tools

Supply Chain by Design: You Don't Need the Optimization in Multi-Echelon Inventory Optimization

Supply Chain by Design: On Network Modeling - Blaspheming the Baseline

Supply Chain by Design: Profit Maximization Feature and Amazon’s Focus on Lead Time to Grow Revenue

Supply Chain by Design: Using Profit Maximization to Minimize Cost

Supply Chain by Design: Two Big Reasons You Don't Want to Maximize Profit in your Supply Chain Model

Supply Chain by Design: You Can Set Inventory Levels and Other Such Myths

Supply Chain by Design: Six Organizational Issues in Tactical Inventory Planning

Supply Chain by Design: Four Things Nick Saban Can Teach us About Inventory Planning

Supply Chain by Design: Seven Ways You Can Think About Christmas Capacity to Avoid Having the Press Blame Your Supply Chain for Missed Deliveries

Supply Chain by Design: Machine Learning and High Quality Potato Chips

Supply Chain by Design: Simple Models to Solve Complex Fast Delivery Problems

Supply Chain by Design: CSCMP Report - Five Take-Aways on Natural Gas Trucks from the AB InBev and Owens Corning Talk

Supply Chain by Design: CSCMP Report - Six Insights from LLamasoft and JLL

Supply Chain by Design: CSCMP Report - Five Supply Chain Design Lessons from Benjamin Moore and How One is Used by Amazon in their 1-hour Delivery Service

Supply Chain by Design: CSCMP Report - Two Supply Chain Design Lessons from Starbucks CEO

Supply Chain by Design: Four Groups that Need to Step Up to Help Make Network Design More of a Profession

Supply Chain by Design: Top Four Best Practices for Multi-Objective Optimization

Supply Chain by Design: Caesars Entertainment's Customer Data is Worth $1B - How Much is Your Supply Chain Data Worth?

Supply Chain by Design: Using Transactional Data to Estimate Truckload Market Conditions in Near-Real-Time

Supply Chain by Design: Routing Optimization is Hard: Lessons from UPS

Supply Chain by Design: Eli Goldratt's Book "The Goal" is on Jeff Bezos (Amazon) Reading List

Supply Chain by Design: Top Five Rules for Cleaning Data for a Strategic Analysis

Supply Chain by Design: Network Design and Accounting Data

Supply Chain by Design: Sears Case Study - Same Day Delivery

Supply Chain by Design: Three Ways UPS and FedEx Handled Christmas 2014

Supply Chain by Design: Deepen Your Optimization Knowledge Over the Holidays with Free E-book

Supply Chain by Design: Calculating Supplier Lead-Time Variability - Not as Easy as It Seems

Supply Chain by Design: The Myth of the Market Rate and Network Design Projects

Supply Chain by Design: Three Ways the Supply Chain Wastes Big Data

Supply Chain by Design: Three Supply Chain Lessons from the book Scaling Up Excellence

Supply Chain by Design: What to Do About the Rise in Costs Because of the Trucker Shortage

Supply Chain by Design: Modeling Your Competitors

Supply Chain By Design: Just Because the Feature Exists, Doesn’t Mean You Should Use It

Supply Chain by Design: Just Because People are Talking about Big Data Doesn’t Mean it is Clean Data

Supply Chain By Design: Can Western Manufacturing Be Saved: What Does it Mean to Your Firm?

Supply Chain By Design: Optimized Baseline and the "Perfect" Network Design

Supply Chain By Design: Become more Analytics-Driven to Recruit Talent

Supply Chain By Design: Step Up Your Preventative Maintenance with Predictive Analytics

Supply Chain By Design: Demystifying Stochastic Optimization

Supply Chain By Design: More on Big Data in the Supply Chain

Supply Chain by Design: Should You Extend Your Network Design Capability with a Map Portal?

Supply Chain by Design: A New Trend in Network Design: Flow Path Modeling

Supply Chain By Design: Top 5 Skills You Need in a Supply Chain Modeler

Supply Chain By Design: Comment on Biggest Supply Chain Planning Technology Challenges

Supply Chain by Design: Beyond the Square Root of N Rule

Supply Chain by Design: UPS's Christmas Problem Explained in One Graph

Supply Chain By Design: Your One Network Design New Year's Resolution

Supply Chain By Design: 80/20 Rule for Supply Chain Design

Supply Chain By Design: What Makes a Good Inventory Buffer

Supply Chain by Design: Some Things Do Not Change: Cost and Service Trade-Offs with Air Shipments

Supply Chain By Design: The Impact of Natural Gas Trucks On Your Supply Chain Design and Capabilities

Supply Chain By Design: Controlling Inbound Transportation with Inventory

Supply Chain by Design: Three Types of Supply Chain Buffers

Supply Chain by Design: Systems Thinking and the "Limits" of Optimization

Supply Chain By Design: 3D Printing and Robotics - Disrupting the Dominant Supply Chain Model

Supply Chain by Design: Future Supply Chain- Airships and the Physical Internet

Supply Chain By Design: Avoiding Capital Investments - A Hidden Benefit of Network Design

Supply Chain by Design: Three More Reasons the Impact of the New Hours of Service Rules May Not Be So Drastic

Supply Chain By Design: Three Ways to Handle the Lag Time from Modeling to Implementation

Supply Chain By Design: Three Quick Steps for Analyzing Big Data

Supply Chain by Design: What is Big Data?

Supply Chain By Design: Using Optimization to Compare Facilities or Internal Benchmarking

Supply Chain By Design: Four Steps for Thinking About An Optimization Problem

Supply Chain By Design: Don't Let the Term "Optimization" Become a Buzzword

Supply Chain By Design: Supply Chain Models Can Go Wrong - A Different Perspective

Supply Chain By The Numbers: Top Three Ways Supply Chain Models Can Go Wrong

Supply Chain By Design: Supply- and Demand-Centered Modeling: A Follow Up to 2013 Priorities

Supply Chain By Design: Three SCDigest Predictions You Should Be Modeling

Supply Chain by Design: Cost to Serve Modeling

Supply Chain By Design: Top Five Models You Should Build in 2013

Supply Chain By Design: Should You Source from China or the US? Why Not Both?

Supply Chain By Design: Same Day Delivery and Network Design

Supply Chain By Design: Political Supply Chain and Network Design

Advanced Analytics in Supply Chain - What is it and is it better than Non-Advanced Analytics?

In a supply chain, optimization technology can help you come up with better scheduling of your production lines (especially when you have issues with sequence dependent set-ups), help you schedule your workforce, and help you determine which items in the warehouse should be closest to the dock doors.  By applying optimization technology to these areas, you can save significant money.

Optimization can also help with truck routing.  This area is interesting because routing turns out to be a very difficult mathematical problem.  In fact, for most large scale routing problems, it is impossible to find the proven optimal solution. Instead, most routing solution use optimization to help come up with answers, but need to supplement with heuristics.  With good solutions, you can find 15%-30% reduction in transportation costs and while hitting delivery windows.  But, since even good solution providers have to use heuristics, you can see differences in solutions for the same data set.

Optimization can also be embedded in your real-time systems.  That is, as orders come in, you can rely on underlying optimization engines to assign the order to the right location and change your picking directions.  Or, if a machine breaks down, optimization can help you rebalance the plant.



Final Thoughts

Although optimization problems can be hard to solve, the payoff can be very nice. If you start to look for areas to apply optimization technology in your supply chain, you may find a lot of potential
.

Recent Feedback

I found this very informative and helpful. As a Supply Chain management student, optimization is thrown around all too frequently. It is nice to get a clear definition. Optimization has the potential to greatly improve operations and logistics. Great insight!


Taylor Monk
Student
UT Austin, McCombs School of Business
May, 01 2013

I can't see in this article how optimization generates benefits to supply chain, but I still don't get why optimization will become a buzzword? Do you mean that managers introduce analytical tools into supply chain but still rely on heuristics to make a decision?

Another question is, how to divert from heuristics to optimization?
 


Response from Dr. Watson:

Thanks for the comment.  Here are some answers to your questions:

Optimization benefits the supply chain by helping make better decisions.  Optimization technology allows you to make better decisions by sorting through countless possible solutions to pick the best one.  For example, if you are trying to pick the best 5 warehouse locations out of 200 potential locations there are more than 2 billion combinations.  You need optimization technology to sort through these combinations.

Optimization can become a buzzword if people use it to just mean "do something better."  The danger is that they need miss the ability to apply true optimization technology to a problem.

With optimization and heuristics,  it is important to know the difference, to know how different problems in your supply chain are being solved, and to know when one approach might be better than the other.  This will help you make better decisions about potential solutions.
 


Wenhuan(Mike) Wu
MBA student
RPI
May, 02 2013

It was good to see you differentiate between heuristics and optimization because many supply chain managers don't know that the two aren't the same thing. In introducing packaging optimization to potential clients, we regularly discuss optimization versus heuristics.  

People are always amazed to learn that a 12 count case composed of rectangular primary units has 324 possible combinations of case configuration and pallet patterns. Most users do not have tools to pinpoint the optimal solution thus leaving money on the table.

The heuristics versus optimization consideration is even more complex in outbound e-commerce operations where significant  companies will ship over one million unique combinations of weight & cube annually. The obvious question is "how many shipping cases are needed to optimize shipping costs?" Numerous executives mistakenly believe that an internal engineer will figure this out on a spread sheet. One exasperated engineer told his superior that it would take him hundreds of years to generate a manual solution when we were able to identify the optimal solution from 800 million possibilities in less than 90 days with the aid of software.  

By the way, my MBA students at University of Massachusetts and Niagara University regularly quote Supply Chain Digest in their supply chain research papers. Keep up the good work.


Jack Ampuja
President
Supply Chain Optimizers
May, 09 2013

Dr. Watson,

I think I completely get where you're are coming from, it seems as though you may be calling this an extension of DSS (Decision Support Systems)?
 
I really do not know how to now differentiate DSS System from your analogy of "Optimization Technology". Are you simply calling DSS a different name? Please advise.

Maybe your perspective may allay the controversy in the industry definition of DSS.
 
As a SC practitioner, there is always that challenge of transferring common literal meaning to technical platforms or fields.
 
In my humble opinion, I think we should be able to still use both, literal/technical connotation, but as experts, be cognizant of application, or our intended audience. More so when "OPTIMIZATION" can be perceived as relative.

By the way, that was a brilliant article with a unique perspective.


Akin O
SC Practitioner
LW
Oct, 02 2013
 
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