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  - November 24, 2008 -  

Logistics News: Will Financial Pressures on YRCW (Yellow Roadway) and other Carriers Ultimately Mean Danger for Shippers



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Expansion and Acquisitions in Heady Days Mean Additional Pressures in Transport Slump; How Much Capacity Will Leave the Market?

 
 

 

SCDigest Editorial Staff

SCDigest Says:
YRWC (Yellow Roadway) is now under significant financial pressure to reduce debt and meet its loan covenants (financial requirements under terms of a loan).

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After heady times in 2004-2006, business for most trucking companies started to slow in 2007, and then has slumped dramatically in recent months as the domestic and global economy cratered.

What will be the ultimate impact to the trucking industry and shippers? 

That’s hard to say, although it’s clear much capacity has already been removed from the market, especially from independent and smaller trucking firms, as demand and rates drooped sharply earlier this year even as fuel costs soared. In May, the American Trucking Associates found that more than 800 trucking firms with at least five vehicles had left the market in Q1 2008, and many believe that number went over 1000 in Q2. That doesn’t include sole proprietors that have left the market, and was before the financial crisis and recessionary environment that has reduced freight demand even further.

Those financial pressures are now hitting even the industry’s largest carriers hard.

As reported last week by transportation industry analyst Ed Wolfe of Wolfe Research, YRCW (Yellow Roadway) is now under significant financial pressure to reduce debt and meet its loan covenants (financial requirements under terms of a loan).

Wolfe reports that YRCW ended the third quarter with a debt to EBIDTA ratio of just 3.2, “dangerously close” to its load covenants that require a maximum ratio of 3.5. Wolfe Research “believes that YRCW is likely to take further action in the near term to reduce debt and avoid a covenant breach,” which can lead to various unpleasant consequences.

What can YRCW do to reduce its debt levels? Without getting too much into the financial minutia. Wolfe says the company can use a revolving bank credit line to retire other bond debt, which would “likely extend its potential covenant breach another 2-3 quarters.”

Wolfe says the company may also look to sell assets to raise cash and retire debt, including selling redundant terminals that resulted from the Yellow acquisition of Roadway Express in 2003. Unfortunately, there may be few buyers for those terminals in this environment, a situation made worse by recent market availability of 40 small Con-Way LTL terminals and 300 DHL parcel terminals coming to market.

Is the current YRWC debt load the result of borrowing to fund Yellow’s purchases of competitors Roadway and US Freightways?

(Transportation Management Article - Continued Below)

 
     
 
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No and yes, it appears.

Most of YRWC’s debt was issued after the Roadway merger, so it is not directly attributable to that acquisiton.

However, some say YRCW would not be in the current situation had not paid so much for Roadway and US Freightways. Early this year, YRCW wrote down $703 million of goodwill and intangibles from acquistion of US Freightways and $77 million for the Roadway deal, and another $636 million for Roadway, $89 million from US Freightways, and $98 million from YRC Logistics, much of which likely stemmed from parts of the the former USF Logistics.

That's a total of $1.6B in impairment of intangible assets and goodwill from both acquisitions (in accounting terms, intangibles and goodwill are generally amounts paid for acquired assets above their book values), which is more than YRCW's current debt level.

As capacity rapidly drains from the market, service issues could emerge even in what is currently a buyer’s market. The dramatic loss of capacity may cause shippers even more pain when the economy and demand recover.

Should shippers be concerned about the financial health of carriers and loss of capacity? What are the smart moves to make now? Let us know your thoughts at the Feedback button below.

 
     
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