March 9, 2004
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Reader Survey

Nearby, we carry an article on Harley-Davidson's effective use of a supplier portal, and ask why more companies haven't taken similar steps. Please take a moment to answer these two brief questions.

What do you think is the number one barrier to implementing web-based supplier portals?
ROI not clear
Current business processes hard to change
Technology tools/solutions not adequate
Back-end systems aren't ready to be put on web

What do you think is the top logistics benefit from web-based supplier portals?

Reduce transaction time/costs/accuracy
Improve replenishment
Increase visibility to inventory and shipments
Improve receiving costs through ASNs

You may also add your comments by clicking here.

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  Dan Gilmore
Editor-in-Chief

RFID Compliance - Deju Vu All Over Again?

With thousands of our corporate and technology vendor readers toiling away to create solutions for RFID compliance for Wal-Mart, Target, and soon others, for many of us there's a strong sense of "we've seen this all before."

 

The early 1990s produced a similar wave of logistics "compliance" requirements for bar code labeling and EDI (advance ship notices), largely under the umbrella of the "Quick Response" retail-consumer goods initiative.

 

The parallels to today's RFID activity are remarkable. Here are a few:

Then, as now, large retailers led the charge by requiring unique identification of pallets and (sometimes) cases, then with UCC-128 serialized bar code labels. RFID is needed now, as we've noted here before, because it's apparently just too hard to scan.

Operationally, the challenge was moderate for full pallet labeling, somewhat greater if you were already picking at the full case level, and monumental if you were picking in full pallets, but had to label at the individual carton level. This generally occurred for suppliers to "flow through" retail operations, where orders to a retail DC were aggregated to full pallet quantities, but suppliers had to place a "Mark for" label on each case for a specific store.
There were significant and related IT challenges. Then, it involved the tremendous effort to support EDI transactions, as well as map data to a variety of retailer-specific label formats. While the "standards" for UCC-128 labels and VICS EDI formats provided a structure, each retailer's specific implementation of the standard was different. We could see something of the same thing now. EPC provides the basic tag standard, but specific use of the tag bandwidth, related EDI requirements, and the level of bar code "co-existence" could create a similar scenario of multiple formats and compliance requirements for vendors. Fortunately, RFID can largely piggyback off of the EDI investments - the real IT challenge will be around enabling core operation systems, and managing all that data.
The goals of Quick Response included significantly reducing the retailer's time to receive shipments, enabling flow through processes, increasing visibility to in-transit goods, and, of course, reducing pipeline inventories and reducing retail stock-outs. Sound familiar?

 

The current RFID wave really has to be seen as part of this continuum that started with Efficient Consumer Response (ECR), then moved to Quick Response, then CPFR, and now RFID, each with the goal of improving the flow of information and goods. In each case, there has been the active hand of the Uniform Code Council (albeit a little late to the game with RFID, taking on the Auto ID Center's role), and a substantial amount of investment for both suppliers to comply, and retailers (and consumer goods companies themselves) to take advantage of the new technology. The previous efforts (ECR, Quick Response, etc.) have all led to important gains - but from my view, not nearly to the level the initial promotion of the initiatives promised.

 

There are a variety of lessons learned in these first compliance go-rounds, and we'll cover them in out next issue. But for those for whom this looks like a revolution - maybe so, but it sure seems a lot like what we saw in 1992.

 

Is "RFID compliance" similar to these earlier bar coding and EDI requirements? Is RFID what is finally needed to reach the promise of ECR, Quick Response, etc.?  Let us know your thoughts.

      
 

This Week:

Dustin Hoffman Had it Wrong - "the Future is Logistics"

Harley-Davidson's Supplier Portal Drives Efficiencies

 

Bear Sterns Shipper Survey Finds TL Capacity Tight, Little Change in Inventory Levels

Summary and comment below.

   
 

Supply Chain Investment News

It was a mixed week for Logistics software, 3PL and transportation stocks, with the most noticeable moves from Vastera (up 6.5%), Prologis (up 5.7%), and Symbol (down 8.93%).
 

  Click here to see performance over the past week, month, quarter and year >>
   
 
It was a relatively flat week for Supply Chain stocks as the majority of the stocks in our index moved up or down less than 3%,  the exceptions being Manugistics  (down 4%) and Peoplesoft (down 5.9%), while Logility soared 13%.
 
  Click here to see performance over the past week, month, quarter and year >>
 
 

While in the spirit of retail compliance, the UCC-128 serial shipping container format includes a serialized tracking number that is how many digits long?  Answer below

 
 

Agree or disagree?
Have a perspective to
share with your peers?

Reader feedback from the topics in SupplyChainDigest is growing every week! Keep the comments coming! If you would like to keep your identity or company anonymous, please let us know in your response.

 

We had a large amount of reader feedback last week on our First Thoughts column on event management, including our Feedback of the Week from Ken Smith of Celestica. We have more letters on this topic and others, including one reader who thinks Albertson's best investment would be to fund union organizing efforts at Wal-Mart instead of more spending on technology.

 

For more complete comments from readers, click here.

Keep the dialog going! Give us your thoughts on this week’s logistics topics at feedback@scdigest.com.

   

NEWS AND VIEWS

Wall St. Journal Story Notes Offshoring is Boon to Logistics, Supply Chain Professionals

A nice article in the Wall St. Journal notes that among the good jobs that are being created by globalization and the offshore manufacturing trend, are in supply chain management and logistics to manage all this international complexity.

The article states that "the frenetic pace of global trade, coupled with outsourcing of manufacturing around the world, has transformed delivery into a complex engineering task. Companies enlist logistics consultants to untangle supply chains and to monitor shipping lanes and weather patterns. In one small indicator of how intricate the task has become, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology has expanded its logistics program and started a new master's degree dedicated to logistics in the school of engineering."

In addition to the obvious need to manage complex global deliveries, the article also notes that globalization combined with more demanding customers and just-in-time requirements means more planning and skills are needed to build agile supply chain capabilities.

The Key Takeaways: All told, supply chain management and logistics look like pretty good career choices. Both fields should continue to get board-level focus and attention. But I also wonder whether global logistics requirements for U.S. companies will increasingly be themselves outsourced to 3PLs/4PLs, to the levels seen in Europe, driven in part by the complexities even of cross border movements in the E.U.

No link to the story is available, but let us know if you would like a copy emailed to you.

Do you think logistics will be a good area for job growth? Is the offshore movement increasing the profile of corporate logistics? Or will this complexity drive much greater use of outsourced logistics? Let us know your thoughts.

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Harley-Davidson Uses Web Portal to Take Out Supply Chain Costs

View full article>>  

Harley-Davidson is wrapping up a two-year project to integrate its material suppliers, using the web to provide a new level of visibility and transaction management.

 

The capabilities and goals are similar to supplier portal efforts:

Eliminate EDI charges for large suppliers and provide on-line transactions to smaller non-EDI capable suppliers.

Provide automated replenishment notifications to suppliers based on current inventory levels and planned production. In the just-in-time world of the automotive-related industry, suppliers then have 48 hours before the Harley truck stops to pick up the parts.
Suppliers can receive on-line performance metrics relative to quality, on-time delivery, order fill rates, etc.
Visibility and a common set of data for use by Harley buyers and the suppliers.

Currently, 300 of Harley's nearly 700 suppliers are using the portal, with the rest expected to come on line over the next year.

 

Though there are no specific metrics associated with the supplier portal, the benefits seem obvious, and Harley is clearly doing something right with its supply chain. Operating expense as a percentage of sales continues to fall, driving up margins.

 

Key Takeaway: The benefits of these web-based supplier portals seem so obvious, I don't understand why more companies don't use them. Many vendors have very packaged capabilities to facility web-based supplier integration. I suspect the real barrier is that many companies don't have their own back-end systems ready to expose over the web.

 

Why don't more companies use web portals to integrate suppliers? Is the ROI not there, or are there other technical, cultural and process barriers? Let us know your thoughts.

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Bear Stearns Releases Latest Quarterly Shipper Survey

View full article>>  

Ed Wolfe, Phil Alling, and the other good folks at Bear Stearns survey about 1000 "shippers" each quarter to research key supply chain and logistics issues. Although the subsequent report is created to support their investment perspectives on transportation, logistics and supply chain technology stocks, the work also always contains good insight for supply chain professionals.

Highlights from the just released Q4 2003 survey below. Keep in mind the survey population is mostly from large companies:

Shippers expect to pay 1.3% of UPS announced 2004 list price rate increases, and 1.4% of similar increases from FedEx. These numbers are down slightly from the Q3 2003 survey, when shippers for example initially expected to pay 1.8% of the UPS increase.

A small but significant amount of shippers (22%) intend to divert some LTL freight away from the new Yellow-Roadway combination, primarily due to concerns about potential price increases, and to achieve greater carrier diversification. Bear Stearns expects the new Yellow Roadway to lose about 8-9% of the combined companies' previous revenues.
While respondents felt LTL capacity remained plentiful, there was a growing perception of tightening in truckload capacities. Those expecting "balanced" TL capacities in 2004 shrank dramatically from 55% in the Q3 survey to 17% in Q4.
53% of shippers did not expect to incur any carrier rate increases due to new hours of service regulations, while the 47% who expect some rate increases expect them to average 3.5%.
Respondents expect inventories to remain relatively flat despite the economic upswing. 36% of respondents said their company's inventory levels would be static, while 30% felt inventories would drop by 10% or less due to increased demand.

The report is worth reading for a broad overview of what large shippers are thinking.   Do you expect freight rates to be impacted by new hours of service regulations - or is that just a handy excuse by carriers to raise rates? Are you seeing TL capacity tightening? Let us know your thoughts.

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FEEDBACK (Continued)

Feedback of the week - On RFID:

I have been involved with developing event management in our company for four years.  I have found that the timing in a complete supply chain from raw materials to end-user is critical especially in complex integration industries.  Missing a milestone for one operation quickly bullwhips downstream driving inventory, labor and equipment resources resulting in consumer management issues.  Considering that it takes only one weak link in the chain, and there are millions of events to be tracked, using event management to filter information is of primary operations control benefit.

There are three stages to proper event management: measurement, knowledge creation and management.  Many of the original dot.com entries in this space sold management and completely under estimated the required precursors of measurement and knowledge creation. The latest trend where large application providers are moving to measure critical events shows how big this task is.  Considering that many application providers have been working in this space for several years and are only now providing robust configurable solutions, we can see how difficult the task is.

Knowledge creation given a robust and accurate data set is the true value add piece of event management.  Understanding which event is critical from the millions of tracked events and understanding the implications driven by the key event has stumped even the best and brightest in the supply chain control field.  Creation of a cause and effect matrix provides operations with the levers to accurately and quickly control supply chain issues.

Management of a supply chain is simplified by the design team providing easy-to-use and effective levers.  Operations teams need to be able to respond to supply chain issues quickly. The team on the ground does not have the time to determine control points and responses.  A team without predefined levers is forced to hunt and peck for solutions and the result is a supply chain that quickly spirals out of control.

I agree that we are on the cusp of a new age in supply chain management.  Once disparate suppliers, manufacturers, designers and customers, are now collaborating and communicating to build responsive and efficient total fulfillment solutions.  The true winners, the companies that prove to be the most efficient and hence the most profitable, will be those that embrace event management for the total supply chain.

Ken Smith, M.Sc. P.Eng.
Celestica Inc.

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On Event Management:

Supply Chain Event Management is not easy. There is no two ways about it. Think about the variety of information that must be accumulated in order to perform this task:

Purchasing - Purchase orders, materials, specifications, delivery dates

Operations - Scheduling, MES type information

Quality - Specifications, conformance to spec, corrective actions

There are very few systems in the market that bring these together in a cohesive format that allows a multi-site manufacturer to have clarity into these activities. There are several market research reports that quantify the benefits of a company extending its quality practices with its supplier organization. Specifically, AMR produced a study in September, 2002, that quantifies the savings realized by providing real time access to supplier quality processes. The report discusses a variety of benefits that a manufacturer can achieve through an Internet enabled supply chain. The report described measurable benefits, which include:

  

Reduced cost of poor quality (67% reduction)

Improved incoming inspection yield

Reduced non-conformance cycle time (30 days to 3)

Reduced backlog (by 83%)

If a company can incorporate these activities into their supply chain, the financial benefits through reduction in disruptions can be significant.

Dan Creinin

EMNS, Inc.

 

 

I agree that adoption of event management solutions has been surprisingly slow given the potential.  Before we could claim some capability in this space, PeopleSoft partnered with one of the start-up vendors. I did a seminar with a large PeopleSoft Supply Chain customer, along with the vendor, the point of which was to identify the best opportunities for event management across the enterprise (about 12 distinct divisions, manufacturing different products in factories around the world).  The result? The company had a corporate-wide initiative to improve DSO, and there were points identified along the information chain (from discounts not taken, to the analysis of customer behavior through analytics to identify when paying practices vary or trend negatively) where event management solutions would fit well.  This was a supply chain group of about 30 with a few finance folks along.  

The project never received commitment, and perhaps this was at a time, 2 years ago, when IT investment was at an all time low.  Still, here we are two years later and very few companies have adopted the technology.   If you view event management from a Supply Chain Planning perspective, it can become the net-change action messages that drive a business between plan cycles.  From this perspective, though, I think companies may look at the tool as an expediter that creates, potentially, volumes of "process failures" to be responded too, when it may in fact be less-than-real-time transactions causing the violations.  This will be the case if the use of the tool is not well planned and there aren't sufficient controls over event management tolerance.

Good article, and thanks for the continuous excellence of your newsletter.

Joe Shobe

Peoplesoft

 

What is interesting about this topic is that most of the big vendors have implemented this new architecture at some level. Especially, the supply chain management vendors have working customer implemented solutions in this space. Some of these projects have been huge, like at the DoD, and large auto, chemical etc. companies.

Yet the standalone vendor has not flourished!

The challenge has been for the stand-alone event management vendor. It always made sense to me that the standalone vendor would have a play here, since the very nature of event management is to deal with heterogeneous, non-synchronous events, across systems and enterprises.  Even more importantly the architecture was designed to reduce latency. So if you layer this wonderful concept on top of an ERP, you are still stuck with all the layers of latency that these big ole systems introduce into your processes.

If you think about this from a "big trend" perspective, every ten years or so, we have a major overhaul of IT.  The realization hit me last year that we have passed the ten-year mark on ERP. 

I think for any company who cares about real-time or what we call at ChainLink "Smart-time", you need to think about ways to out-fox your CIO, who ironically still seems to be the embracer of this old technology and think about your true supply chain requirements:

Do your customers want real-time status?
Does your supply chain require trace and track? (Retail, DoD, Pharma/HealthCare, Compliant Global Logistics)
Do you take orders all day long and fulfill to markets and units of one?

If you answer yes to any of these, you need to think about event management as a major architectural component of your enterprise structure since it will allow you to deal with the real world of asynchronous events. 

If you are a big user of ERP, you can go to them and get this, but you need to think about how it fits into your supply chain network, beyond your internal processes. 

However, in the logistics space, to get this capability layered onto of a web based transportation solution, you need to consider the best of breed guys. It will be a different twist on the typical project, embracing trading partners, but the value is huge!

 

Ann Grackin

ChainLink Research

 

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On Albertson's Taking on Wal-Mart Through Technology:

Albertson's investments in technology are impressive, and I wish them well in their quest to compete with Wal-Mart.  Clearly Wal-Mart needs real competition.

 

However I think Albertson's might get a better ROI from funding Labor Union efforts at organizing the Wal-Mart workforce.  Until the grocery retailers' labor costs are comparable to Wal-Mart's there can be no competition.  In our area, Wal-Mart clearly has lower prices by a wide margin pretty much across the board.  Some of this may come from supply chain efficiency, but much has to do with the cost of warehouse and store labor.

 

Consumers believe this and will shop Wal-Mart because it fits their budget.  Handheld computers with web based shopping lists will not do a lot to change their minds.

 

Steve Murray
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SUPPLY CHAIN TRIVIA ANSWER

Q.

While in the spirit of retail compliance, the UCC-128 serial shipping container format includes a serialized tracking number that is how many digits long?

A.

In the 20-character long bar code, which includes an application identifier, packaging indicator, vendor's UPC number, and check digit, nine characters are used to provide a unique, serialized tracking number, or "license plate," for each container.

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