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If you’ve been
paying any attention at all to the supply chain software industry
over the past 2-3 years, you would have noticed a substantial amount
of merger and acquisition activity.
Some top of mind examples include the “Peoplesoft buys JDEdwards,
which in turn is bought by Oracle” soap opera; the recent,
very rapid fight between SAP and Oracle for retail ERP vendor Retek
(ultimately won by Oracle); Manhattan Associates buying Logistics.com,
3M buying HighJump Software, SSA buying several companies, Sterling
Commerce buying Yantra, etc., etc., etc. You can expect a number
of additional announcements.
So, what in the heck is going on, and should you care?
Most supply chain and logistics managers in regular companies (meaning
not software vendors) aren’t well versed in the working of
venture capital, but with the rapid raise of VC funding of software
companies in the 1990s, much of this wheeling and dealing is baked
into the industry model. VCs that put money in, expect to get it
back out in 3-4 years or so. Your choices to do that are a stock
IPO (very, very tough these days), or sell yourself off to someone
else. It’s that simple.
With that said, the number of such deals is clearly accelerating
of late. Here’s why:
- This has been a very tough few years for software vendors. Coming
out of the 2001-03 technology recession/depression, customer buying
habits – and price points (see SCDigest
archive “Software Prices in the Toilet – Is this
a Good Thing?”) - have just entered a new phase that is
not favorable to the bottom lines of most software vendors. Those
vendors with struggling fortunes and/or bleak future prospects
are forced to sell.
- Expanding footprint/scale: Many software vendors believe they
need to continually expand their solution footprint to provide
a more complete solution set, become more global, and/or get to
a level of critical mass that can enable them to better withstand
the inevitable downturns in software buying cycles and compete
more strongly with ERP providers. At one often level, the Oracle/SAP
fight over Retek was actually an example of this too – retail
was one of the few verticals not well penetrated with traditional
ERP, and looking for avenues for growth themselves, both these
vendors wanted a stronger foothold in that market.
- The rise of the “roll-up” play: This is a somewhat
more recent phenomenon, as several companies and buyout firms
believe money can be made by buying out a series of software companies
and finding ways to squeeze out costs and/or gain synergies. This
week’s announcement that supply chain execution vendor RedPrairie
was being acquired by a buy-out company you would never have heard
of – Francisco Partners – looks to be the beginnings
of one of these roll-up strategies. Companies like SSA (recent
purchases of Baan, EXE, Arzoon, etc.) and Infor (recent acquisition
of MAPICS and many other companies) are existing examples, and
there are several more companies pursuing these strategies.
I realize that as the software industry itself buzzes over such
news (always looking most acutely at the sales price), most of you
could care less, unless your specific vendor is one that is being
acquired. But this acceleration in acquisitions does impact a bit
the way you should think about potential new software providers,
and how you negotiate contracts. Your software vendor being bought
doesn’t have to be a bad thing – and frankly in many
of the roll-up plays it is actually a good thing – but being
smart up front can help minimize the chances of making a poor decision,
or not striking a deal that minimizes your potential downside.
More on that soon.
What do you think of the merger mania in the software industry?
Do you think end customers should care? Or is it just VCs exchanging
money?
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