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First Thoughts
  By Dan Gilmore - Editor-in-Chief  
     
   
  November 20, 2008  
     
  Strategic Supply Chain Always Just Around the Corner?    
 

Strategic versus tactical supply chain investments and initiatives – where does your company stand?

It’s an interesting question, and one subject to some vagaries of definition. One company’s “strategic initiative” might seem like a mere tactical response to someone else.

I bring this up because again this year research firm Gartner has partnered with SCDigest to do a short, but impactful survey of our readership on supply chain priorities and technology. Your chance to participate will be coming along next week, and I ask that you please take the 10 minutes or so it will take to complete the survey. The effort will be led by capable Gartner analysts Chad Eschinger and Dwight Klappich.

With the current economic climate, it will be interesting to see the results this year. Last year, we were in pretty good overall economic times, although the supply chain itself was being buffeted by soaring fuel and commodity costs, among other pressures. Even then, the current focus was primarily on the tactical, according to the research, with plans for most strategic initiatives and investments said to be coming 2-3 years down the road. The question of course is: will you ever get there?

Gilmore Says:

What is really interesting is that when the survey asked what individual respondents personally thought should be the company’s supply chain priority between now and end of year 2010, a more strategic focus emerged.


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Reader Feedback

So for example, 17% of last year’s respondents picked “Reduce operating costs” as the top current supply chain priority among a long list of choices, versus 11% who selected “Drive business growth.”  Looking forward, however, those positions were reverse: 16% selected “Drive business growth” as the top priority their supply chains would have in 2010, versus 9% that selected “Reduce operating costs.”

Those questions were oriented around the company’s plans and actions. What is really interesting is that when the survey asked what individual respondents personally thought should be the company’s supply chain priority between now and end of year 2010, a more strategic focus emerged. As shown in the chart below, such goals as “Support and improve business agility,” “Improve cross functional collaboration,” and “Improve customer service metrics” were at the top. (You can click on this graphic for a full sized image/printable.)

“Improved efficiency” and “Reduce operating costs,” were ranked only at 6 and 7, respectively, in this personal priority list. So, what individuals think the company should be doing with its supply chain aren’t matching what the company is doing, it appears.

Here were some other interesting highlights from the report, published earlier this year:

  • 18% of respondents said supply chain excellence was the main source of company differentiation in their markets; 22% said SCM was a necessary but not a differentiating function, and 60% said SCM was one of several differentiating functions. That sounds about right to me, across industries.
  • Interestingly, the survey asked respondents how aggressive their companies were with regard to supply chain technology. 9% said their companies often favored new and riskier technology; 56% said they generally adopted maturing technologies that still had some risk but at manageable levels; 35% said they preferred only mature, proven technologies.
  • The three biggest barriers to achieving SCM goals were: (1) lack of cross functional collaboration/visibility; (2) forecast accuracy levels, and (3) supply chain network complexity.
  • In terms of 2008 priorities, the bottom two responses were “improving external collaboration and visibility,” and “support and improve business innovation.” That surprises me. Thought they would be higher.
  • Respondents were looking for investment and improvement in supply chain technology support. The average response to “Our supply chain technology portfolio needs increased investment over the next 2-3 years” was 5.81 on a scale of 1-7, with 7 being “totally agree.” Conversely, the lowest score on a series of such choices was “Our supply chain applications/technology are/is flexible enough to adapt to market change in a timely fashion.”
  • But probably consistent with the tactical/strategic divide, just 14% of respondents in this year’s numbers said they expected current investment in SCM technology to increase a lot, versus 39% who believed those investments would increase a lot by 2010. Wishful thinking?

Some key takeaways? Eschinger and Klappich noted the disconnect between the fact that the most respondents identified SCM as a source of differentiation, while very few currently had the support of business innovation or agility as a top SCM priority. But again, I’ll note that individually, respondents thought more attention should be paid to strategic SCM.

Although not in the data I have, Eschinger and Klappich also said there were pretty large disconnects between operations and IT personnel when it came to supply chain priorities and perceptions. This gap continues to persist in study after study, and I am not sure why we can’t ever seem to close it.

I’ll also say that I think some of this is an “Urgent” versus “Important but not Urgent” scenario, using the timeless Steven Covey framework. Cutting short-term costs is usually urgent. More strategic initiatives often get pushed out of the way.

The survey is being revised for 2008 based on learnings from last year. Again, please take a few minutes to respond – you’ll receive some free Gartner research for the effort. We’ll summarize this year’s results I hope in Q1 of next year.

Are you surprised there were big differences between what individuals thought should be the top supply chain priorities and what they thought those of their companies would be? Is the strategic/tactical divide an “Urgent”  versus “Important but not Urgent” scenario? Anything in these results surprise you? Let us know your thoughts at the Feedback button below.

 
 
     
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Feedback

November 21, 2008

I think reducing costs and responding to volatility are going to be top priorities - and they are very related.

Demand volatility will be the biggest uncontrollable issue for manufacturers. If you are used to relying on statistical forecasting to predict future demand, you’re in real trouble. The past is no indicator of the future. You need to rapidly shift to a model that places a premium on collaborating with customers on demand on a very frequent basis.

Only through direct and constant interaction will you have any chance of understanding what demand will really be. Because demand volatility in most all businesses will be at unprecedented levels, the #1 task of supply chain professionals - balancing demand and supply -  will become increasingly difficult.

As a result, costs will be a major problem  - too much inventory, the wrong inventory, obsolete inventory, etc., etc. And, with demand softening, there is going to be growing pressure to reduce costs everywhere.

To thrive in this environment, manufacturers need to focus on responsiveness at all levels of the organization. You are  going to need to be nimble and agile to deal with rapidly changing circumstances.

And when I say 'you are,' I’m referring to everyone in the supply chain organization. You must push rapid decision making capabilities out to the front-lines by arming them with the tools they need to rapidly make the right decisions - those that are aligned with your corporate objectives.

Failure to act quickly and decisively when things are moving so fast will create new problems since the action window is small.

Randy Littleson
Vice President, Marketing
Kinaxis



November 21, 2008

Here is my feedback on ranking of priority for Supply Chain Strategy for 2009 and beyond (1 = High, 5 = low)

1. Drive Business Growth
2. Support and Improve Business Agility
3. Reduce Operating Costs
4. Improve internal X-functional collaboration
5. Improve external collaboration and visibility

Muthu P. Chinnadurai
Manager - ERP Supply Chain Logistics CoE (GPSG - BIO)
J&J Pharmaceutical Operations IM



November 20, 2008

The question to ask is: What do we need to do to get the improved results we want?

Whether the answer is strategic or tactical probably depends on the company asking and the results they want.

I am amazed at the willingness at many companies to have much lower supply chain expectations for their Global network than they do for their domestic network.

Most companies carry much more inventory for their global products than their domestic. Why?

Two reasons:

1. They are expecting/accepting a lot more variation in their supply chain.

2. They are ordering in big MOQs (minimum order quantities) with manufacturing lead time included.

They need to be willing to change in order to get different/better results. Perhaps this economic slowdown will motivate some companies to look for better ways and be willing to take the risk to change

Bob Weiand
Lean Supply Chain Services



November 20, 2008

Of course the tactical drives out the strategic. This is true not only in supply chain but most other areas of the business. It is true at my company.

The question is whether this is really not good. In many cases, tactical improvements may be just what the doctor ordered.

That said. I do think this survey indicates a continuing disconnect between different parts or levels of the company. So who is right, the chiefs or the Indians?

One thing is for sure - if you never get to the strategic because of the tactical, eventually you will have a supply chain meltdown, and then it will take a major strategic transformation to fix.

Dan Quatraro
Orange County, CA



November 20, 2008

I believe that supply chain managers should look into an integrated perspective of costs: inventory, transportation, and location.

To the extent these are all intensively related to energy cost, focus should be on developing integrative mathematical models and heuristic solutions that are time-efficient and yet in close vicinity of optimal solutions.

Due to the complexity of such analyses, they have been shunned by the best of academia, let alone, practitioners. The impact of strategies like mass customization that will invariably 'slim and thin' and make the supply chains agile by virtue of modular product and process designs and lower part traffic should also be studied and gems extracted from such studies be brought into practical applications.

This would require a change in strategic paradigm - but it is absolutely needed ... here and now ... No one knows more about the virtues of mass customization than Dan Gilmore .. I wish he would cover the topic and its impact on supply chain trimmings..

Ashok Kumar
Professor of Management Seidman College of Business
Grand Valley State University



 
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