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Focus: Transportation Management

Feature Article from Our Transportation Management Subject Area - See All
 

From SCDigest's On-Target E-Magazine

- Nov. 23, 2015-

 

Supply Chain News: US LTL Carriers have Mixed Results in Q3, but Old Dominion Powers On

 

Despite Soft Volumes, Rates Up Strong in Q3, as Old Dominion Continues to Far Outperform


SCDigest Editorial Staff

 

Consistent with results from truckload and rail carriers, US less-than-truckload (LTL) carriers said they saw weak freight volumes in Q3, but were nonetheless able to keep rates heading much higher, even as profits were tough to come by for all  but - who else - Old Dominion.

SCDigest Says:

startDespite weak volumes, at YRC Freight, for example, revenue per hundredweight - a proxy for freight rates - increased by 5.8% in the quarter.
 
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We're back as usual every quarter with our review of the results and trends across freight modes. We started with US truckload carriers carriers (see US Truckload Carriers Enjoy Generally Strong Q3, Finally Starting to Add Capacity) and then last week we covered the US rail sector (see  Rail Carriers See Volumes Drop in Q3, but Rates, Profits Again Stay Strong.)

The results were quite similar across both those sectors: characterization of the Q3 freight environment as lukewarm or even weak, but still more than decent financial results achieved on the back of a strong rate environment despite the tepid volumes.

 

This week, it's time for a look at the LTL sector and the (adjusted) five public carriers we follow. We'll note that does not include two of the largest LTL providers - UPS and FedEx - because neither UPS nor FedEx breaks out their numbers in a way that allows the LTL portion to be isolated out from other freight business such as truckload carriage (FedEx) and supply chain services (UPS).

 

In addition, XPO Logistics' acquisition of Conway Freight, one of the US' largest LTL carriers, closed in late October. That means we had to replace Conway in our review, pending on how XPO breaks out its LTL results in subsequent quarters. Conway is replaced in our analysis here by Roadrunner Transport, which has a significant LTL business.

 

Overall, the story was much the same as for truckload and rail. Freight volumes were reported as "weaker than expected" by ArcBest/ABF Freight, and "soft" by Roadrunner. In an unweighted average, tonnage was down 3.8% in Q3 across all five carriers in our pool, though that includes a substantial decrease of 18.1% at Roadrunner, driven by issues in its relationships with independent owner-operators.

 

But rates were apparently still up strongly despite those weak volumes.  At YRC Freight, for example, revenue per hundredweight - a proxy for freight rates - increased by 5.8% in the quarter. ABF said excluding fuel surcharge, its revenue per hundredweight was up in the mid-single digit range, good for ABF but not for shippers.

 

What's more, several LTL carriers have recently announced general rate increases in the 5% range.

 

All told, profits for the group were up 8.9% in Q3, but that total masks the winners and losers. YRC saw net income of about $20 million - not much on over $1.2 billion in revenue in the quarter - but well up from basically break even results in Q3 2014.

 

Old Dominion as usual powered on, with net income up 8.3% in the quarter on a 6.6% rise in tonnage. The other three LTL carriers we follow saw declines in net income, but all were at least in the black.

 

The unweighted operating ratio average, or operating expense divided by operating revenue, a key transport sector metric, rose to 93.1%, up just a little from 92.9% in 2014.


However, that OR performance was as usual led by Old Dominion, with an operating ratio of 82.1%, down almost another percentage point from 2014. Excluding Old Dominion, the average OR from the group was 95.8%.

 

You'll find all that data and more in the table below.

 

LTL Sector Q3 2015 Operating Results

 

 

 

Source: SCDigest

 


(Transportation Management Article Continued Below)

 
CATEGORY SPONSOR: SOFTEON

 
 

As usual, we end with some selected comments from each carrier's earnings reports, although the LTL carriers once again did not have all that much to say with the exception of TRC Worldwide.

 

YRC Worldwide

Reports its fifth consecutive quarter of year-over-year operating income improvement.

 

Said that it is continuing its "strategy of placing freight mix, yield improvements and profitability over market share and tonnage growth."

Excluding fuel surcharge, revenue per shipment increased 7.0% at YRC Freight and revenue per hundredweight increased by 5.8%

Improved yield from continued pricing discipline contributed to an operating ratio of 96.2 on a consolidated basis, which was a year-over-year improvement of 180-basis-points (1.8 percentage points).

 

Additionally, YRC Freight reported an operating ratio of 97.9, which was an improvement of 110-basis-points on a year-over-year basis, and a year-over-year improvement of 230-basis-points at the Regional segment, with an operating ratio of 92.6, which as usual saw much better results than the national Freight unit.


With many years of debt issues, YRC said its total debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio continues to improve, moving from 4.94 times just 12 months ago and 3.33 times last quarter to 3.15 times this quarter - though YRC is far from out of the debt woods yet.

ArcBest/ABF Freight

Company said it "generated a solid improvement in its operating ratio through better use of resources."

Excluding fuel surcharge, the increase in total billed revenue per hundredweight was in the mid-single digits.
ABF Freight's focus on yield management and account profitability combined with changes in freight profile produced a third quarter pricing yield increase versus the same period last year.

On October 5, ABF Freight implemented a 4.95% increase in general rates and charges. This rate increase impacts approximately 35% of ABF Freight's business.

Old Dominion

Net income rose a solid 8.3% to $84.4 million in Q3.

On its earning call, an Old Dominion executive said he believed the company could double its current market share in coming years.

LTL revenue per hundredweight, excluding fuel surcharges, increased 5.2% for the third quarter of 2015 compared with the third quarter of 2014. LTL shipments continued to increase at a double-digit pace for the seventh consecutive quarter, up 11.7% for the third quarter.

Roadrunner Transport

Said it saw "continuing soft demand for TL, LTL, and intermodal services from customers in selected industrial sectors."

Noted that "Historically, the third quarter starts slow and finishes strong. We did not see the anticipated rebound in August and September, resulting in lower volumes than expected for the quarter."

Big decline in tonnage in large part reflective of some kind of turmoil in the company's program with independent contractors.

Revenue per hundredweight excluding fuel was up a very strong 10.8%.

Saia

Company commented that "Our disappointing third quarter results were primarily the result of declining tonnage trends during the quarter, which made it difficult to offset higher investments in driver wages."

However, it commented that despite the negative year-over-year earnings results, it saw improved pricing and LTL yield for the 21st consecutive quarter.


Any reaction to our Q3 2015 LTL segment review? Let us know your thoughts at the Feedback button (for email) or section (for web form) below.

 


   
 

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