Supply Chain by the Numbers for Week of May 12, 2011
China Wages to Skyocket; Supply Chain Conference Week in Orlando; Margin Increases Tank Oil Prices; YRC Worldwide Not Exactly Looking Like a Stock Bargain
The increase in wages for Chinese workers over the next years, according to someone who should know - William Fung, head of trading giant Li & Fung. This will be a key driver is rising costs of imports from Chinese manufacturers, he says, and that Western companies better start preparing now.
Number of simultaneous supply chain-related conferences all being held early next week in Orlando, FL. The Warehouse Education and Research Council (WERC) annual conference, ISM's International Supply Management Conference, and SAP's Sapphire user conference are all running in the Orlando area Sunday through Wednesday. SCDigest Editor Dan Gilmore will be reporting from the WERC and ISM events.
The new share price target for LTL giant YRC Worldwide (Yellow Roadway) issued by the transportation analysts at Wolfe Trahan this week, after the financially struggling carrier posted disappointing results for the most recent quarter last week (greater than expected losses, though tonnage and market share were up). The stock is currently at about $1.31 per share, but an upcoming recapitalization will dilute current shareholders by some 97%, taking the value to just 5 cents/share. Wolfe Trahan believes the carrier could run out of cash by the end of 2012 at current trajectories.
The increase in so-called margin requirements for oil futures trading announced by the CME (the former Chicago Mercantile Exchange) late last week. That simply means oil traders must come up with more money upfront rather than borrowing the cash used to buy oil futures. The third oil margin hike of 2011, the change was thought to have led to the 15% drop in oil prices late last week, with oil now under $100 per barrel. The margin hike either led to a real drop in demand for oil futures or the perception that demand would drop, causing prices to tumble.