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Focus: Manufacturing

Feature Article from Our Manufacturing Subject Area - See All

From SCDigest's On-Target E-Magazine

- June 23, 2015 -

 
Supply Chain News: Will China be Ground Zero for Social Tension over Growing Use of Factory Robots?

 

Chinese Manufacturers Rush to Automate, with One Factory Replacing 90% of 1800 Workers with Robots

 

 

SCDigest Editorial Staff

When thinking of China, the perception is often of vast waves of low cost factory workers, churning our Apple iPhones or pairs of blue jeans by the tens of millions.

While that may have been true for the past couple of decades, the landscape is changing rapidly, as Chinese factories race to install robots to maintain competitiveness in the face of rising labor rates and a strategy to move to higher levels of quality in other product sectors.

SCDigest Says:

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"China could well turn out to be ground zero for the economic and social disruption brought on by the rise of the robots," Martin writes.

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The days of 200,000 workers toiling away at a Foxconn factory making products for Apple may soon be long gone - and the impact of this rapid evolution on China's social fabric a big unknown.

Factory wages in China have quintupled in the past decade, to about $500 per year - yet workers are often still hard to find.

Chinese businesses and the government are responding by designing and installing large numbers of robots, with the goal of keeping factories running and expanding without necessarily causing a drop in overall employment - though this last point remains a wild card.

There is actually an official government project called "replacing humans with robots." We're not sure how well that initiative would go over in the US or most of Europe, even if it's happening at a similar pace without the official government backing.

In 2014, Chinese factories accounted for about a quarter of the global ranks of industrial robots - a 54% increase over 2013. According to the International Federation of Robotics, China will have more installed manufacturing robots than any other country by 2017.

There are lots of anecdotal stories to support that view that China is transitioning to robots.

Chinese appliance maker Midea, for example, plans to replace 6,000 workers in its residential air-conditioning division - nearly 20% fifth of its work force - with automation by the end of the year. The aforementioned contract manufacturing giant Foxconn plans to automate about 70% of factory work within three years, and already has a nearly fully robotic factory in Chengdu.

In May, Shenzhen Evenwin Precision Technology Company started work on a new factory that will be run almost entirely with use of about 1000 robots. Those robots will replace 90% of the 1800 workers currently at a nearby factory, reducing employment there to just 200 needed to operate the new automated plant.

This, it appears, is simply the future of manufacturing, for better or worse, and the new reality may surprisingly be first achieved in still relatively low labor cost China.

The South China Morning Post reports that since September, a total of 505 factories across Dongguan - the city where the new automated Shenzhen Evenwin is being built - have invested 4.2 billion yuan in robots, aiming to replace more than 30,000 workers, according to the Dongguan Economy and Information Technology Bureau.


(Manufacturing Article Continued Below)

 

CATEGORY SPONSOR: SOFTEON

 

 

By 2016, up to 1,500 of the city's industrial enterprises will begin replacing humans with robots, the paper says.


Author Says Rush to Automation will Stress China Social Fabric


In a recent op-ed piece for the New York Times, author Martin Ford writes that "Chinese factory jobs may thus be poised to evaporate at an even faster pace than has been the case in the United States and other developed countries."

 

Interesting Data on Growth of Robots

 

 

Source: The Wall Stret Journal


Martin argues that this move to robots will make it more difficult for China to transition its economy from being export-driven to one more based on domestic consumption, the government's stated goal. But domestic demand may be hard to stoke if factory jobs keep being replaced by robots.

China will need to transition to a more services-oriented economy, as the US and other developed countries have done many years ago - but to do so as rapidly as needed in China may be a tall order if the manufacturing jobs continue to shrink.

The result of all this: "China could well turn out to be ground zero for the economic and social disruption brought on by the rise of the robots," Martin writes.

The rise of the robots may just be the most important supply chain trend of all.


What do you think of China's rapid move to factory robots? Will the revolution cause social unrest - there or in the US? Let us know your thoughts at the Feedback section below.

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